Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Los Caimanes

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Paye E.
14' Event
Reyes S.
25' Event
Paye E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
22%
Draws
60%
Los Caimanes
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Los Caimanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Los Caimanes haven't matched Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)'s recent run of results.
  • Los Caimanes are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alfonso Ugarte (Puno), who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 20%
Los Caimanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Los Caimanes
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2021 Copa Peru
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Los Caimanes
3:1
Nov 10, 2021 Copa Peru
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Los Caimanes
4:0
Sep 8, 2013 Liga 2
Los Caimanes vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1:0
Jun 2, 2013 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Los Caimanes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Compare

Top Goalscorer Paye E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Reyes S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Los Caimanes Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 20 / 100
Los Caimanes 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Los Caimanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Caimanes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (35 games).

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

(Home)
30 Sept
Santos FC
3 : 0
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
18 Sept
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
0 : 3
Juan Aurich
13 Sept
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1 : 1
Ayacucho
05 Sept
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
31 Aug
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 1
U. San Martin
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Los Caimanes

(Away)
22 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 1
Los Caimanes
17 Nov
Parachique
1 : 2
Los Caimanes
14 Nov
Credicoop San Cristobal
1 : 1
Los Caimanes
10 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
4 : 0
Los Caimanes
07 Nov
Deportivo Maristas
0 : 0
Los Caimanes
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AD Tarma742116:914
2Credicoop San Cristobal734013:613
3Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)734013:713
4Los Caimanes72417:810
5Deportivo Maristas723211:119
6Union San Martin722311:128
7Parachique712411:165
8Estrella Azul70164:171
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)