Sport Picks

Peru

Liga 2 2023

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

3 - 1

U. San Martin

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Zarate M. In: del Castillo D.

Out: Zarate M.

15'

Vernal G.

21'

Cuero J.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2023 game between Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) and U. San Martin finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alfonso Ugarte (Puno).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Draws

90%

U. San Martin

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: U. San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

U. San Martin has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Alfonso Ugarte (Puno).
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for U. San Martin.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga 2 2023 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 20%

U. San Martin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)	U. San Martin
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	8	12
Draws	9	4
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2023 Liga 2

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs U. San Martin

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Jun 8, 2023 Liga 2

U. San Martin vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Compare

Top Goalscorer Vernal G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Quiroz A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

U. San Martin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 10 / 100

U. San Martin 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) U. San Martin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

U. San Martin let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

U. San Martin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS U. San Martin

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.5

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comerciantes Unidos	26	20	3	3	54:22	63
2	Los Chankas	26	16	5	5	72:25	53
3	Alianza Huanuco	26	15	6	5	43:25	51
4	Llacuabamba	26	13	7	6	44:31	46
5	Santos FC	26	12	6	8	32:24	42
6	Comerciantes FC	26	11	6	9	27:26	39
7	U. San Martin	26	10	6	10	34:30	36
8	Deportivo Coopsol	26	10	6	10	30:29	36
9	Juan Aurich	26	7	10	9	23:27	31
10	Union Huaral	26	5	9	12	22:34	24
11	Ayacucho	26	5	8	13	37:50	23
12	Pirata	26	5	6	15	22:59	21
13	Carlos Stein	26	1	5	20	26:76	8
14	Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)	26	6	9	11	36:44	27