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Stadium Background

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Walter Ormeno

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) in this Segunda Division 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alfonso Ugarte (Puno).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
39%
Draws
30%
Walter Ormeno
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) have won more games recently than Walter Ormeno.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 20%
Walter Ormeno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Walter Ormeno
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2014 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Walter Ormeno
1:0
Apr 27, 2014 Liga 2
Walter Ormeno vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
2:1
Sep 15, 2013 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Walter Ormeno
3:0
Jun 9, 2013 Liga 2
Walter Ormeno vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 32 / 100
Walter Ormeno 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Walter Ormeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Walter Ormeno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

(Home)
30 Sept
Santos FC
3 : 0
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
18 Sept
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
0 : 3
Juan Aurich
13 Sept
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1 : 1
Ayacucho
05 Sept
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
31 Aug
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 1
U. San Martin
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Walter Ormeno

(Away)
30 Nov
Walter Ormeno
0 : 0
Sport Victoria
23 Nov
Atletico Torino
3 : 0
Walter Ormeno
14 Nov
Walter Ormeno
2 : 1
Willy Serrato
08 Nov
Dep. Municipal
1 : 0
Walter Ormeno
01 Nov
Walter Ormeno
0 : 0
Union Huaral
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Municipal30187549:2961
2Deportivo Coopsol30177653:2658
3Carlos Mannucci30174946:3255
4Alianza Huanuco30158751:3053
5Willy Serrato301210844:3746
6Union Huaral301171238:3740
7Defensor San Alejandro301091137:3739
8Atl. Minero301091130:4039
9Atletico Torino309101137:3437
10Pacifico30981333:4435
11Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)301161336:5035
12Sport Boys30813942:4733
13Sport Victoria307101331:3831
14Comerciantes Unidos30791429:3630
15Jose Galvez307101325:3925
16Walter Ormeno30491721:4619
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)