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Alfortville vs Montceau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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CFA - Group B 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group B 2012/2013 game between Alfortville and Montceau finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montceau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Alfortville
15%
Draws
51%
Montceau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montceau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Montceau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alfortville are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Alfortville Clean Sheet 20%
Montceau Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfortville Montceau
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 7 15
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.87 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2013 National 1 - Group B
Alfortville vs Montceau
0:1
Sep 8, 2012 National 1 - Group B
Montceau vs Alfortville
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfortville 42 / 100
Montceau 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfortville Montceau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montceau has conceded goals in 67% of their last 36 outings.

Alfortville scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Alfortville stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montceau
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfortville

(Home)
06 Dec
A.S. Pagny
1 : 0
Alfortville
14 Nov
L'Etoile
1 : 2
Alfortville
25 May
Alfortville
2 : 1
Nancy II
18 May
Sarre Union
3 : 2
Alfortville
11 May
Moulins
1 : 0
Alfortville
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Montceau

(Away)
29 Nov
Montceau
0 : 2
Montpellier
15 Nov
Montceau
2 : 1
L'Etrat La Tour
04 Jan
Belfort
3 : 0
Montceau
07 Dec
Montceau
3 : 0
Besancon RC
16 Nov
Montceau
4 : 2
Geispolsheim
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Strasbourg 34 17 11 6 47:29 96
2 Raon L Etape 34 17 11 6 53:31 96
3 Grenoble 34 17 11 6 63:30 92
4 Lyon - La Duchere 34 15 10 9 49:39 89
5 Moulins 34 14 12 8 51:36 88
6 Mulhouse 34 15 8 11 46:39 87
7 Villefranche 34 12 11 11 44:42 81
8 PSG II 34 10 14 10 44:49 78
9 Jura Sud 34 10 13 11 31:38 77
10 Moulins-Yzeure 34 11 10 13 37:35 77
11 Sochaux II 34 10 10 14 30:34 74
12 Sarre Union 34 10 10 14 28:52 74
13 Belfort 34 9 11 14 31:37 72
14 Montceau 34 10 8 16 30:43 72
15 GOAL FC 34 10 7 17 37:47 71
16 Auxerre II 34 9 10 15 29:52 71
17 Alfortville 34 7 14 13 25:33 69
18 Nancy II 34 8 9 17 42:51 67
Promotion - National 2013/2014 (Main)