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Alfortville vs Strasbourg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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CFA - Group B 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group B 2012/2013 game between Alfortville and Strasbourg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Alfortville
15%
Draws
46%
Strasbourg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strasbourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Strasbourg come out ahead of Alfortville on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular CFA - Group B 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Strasbourg have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Alfortville Clean Sheet 20%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfortville Strasbourg
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.87 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2013 National 1 - Group B
Alfortville vs Strasbourg
1:1
Oct 20, 2012 National 1 - Group B
Strasbourg vs Alfortville
2:1
Apr 9, 2011 Ligue 3
Alfortville vs Strasbourg
1:3
Oct 23, 2010 Ligue 3
Strasbourg vs Alfortville
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfortville 32 / 100
Strasbourg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfortville Strasbourg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strasbourg has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Alfortville scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Alfortville has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Strasbourg
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfortville

(Home)
06 Dec
A.S. Pagny
1 : 0
Alfortville
14 Nov
L'Etoile
1 : 2
Alfortville
25 May
Alfortville
2 : 1
Nancy II
18 May
Sarre Union
3 : 2
Alfortville
11 May
Moulins
1 : 0
Alfortville
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Strasbourg

(Away)
19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1
Strasbourg
12 Sept
Strasbourg
1 : 1
Monaco
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Lens
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0
Strasbourg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Strasbourg 34 17 11 6 47:29 96
2 Raon L Etape 34 17 11 6 53:31 96
3 Grenoble 34 17 11 6 63:30 92
4 Lyon - La Duchere 34 15 10 9 49:39 89
5 Moulins 34 14 12 8 51:36 88
6 Mulhouse 34 15 8 11 46:39 87
7 Villefranche 34 12 11 11 44:42 81
8 PSG II 34 10 14 10 44:49 78
9 Jura Sud 34 10 13 11 31:38 77
10 Moulins-Yzeure 34 11 10 13 37:35 77
11 Sochaux II 34 10 10 14 30:34 74
12 Sarre Union 34 10 10 14 28:52 74
13 Belfort 34 9 11 14 31:37 72
14 Montceau 34 10 8 16 30:43 72
15 GOAL FC 34 10 7 17 37:47 71
16 Auxerre II 34 9 10 15 29:52 71
17 Alfortville 34 7 14 13 25:33 69
18 Nancy II 34 8 9 17 42:51 67
Promotion - National 2013/2014 (Main)