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Stadium Background

Alfortville vs Villefranche

France France

CFA - Group B 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alfortville play Villefranche in the CFA - Group B 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alfortville averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Villefranche averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Alfortville won 1, Villefranche won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 9, 2013 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Alfortville and 1.11 for Villefranche. This points to a Villefranche double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Alfortville
26%
Draws
38%
Villefranche
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Villefranche

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Alfortville picked up more points recently compared to Villefranche.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Alfortville Clean Sheet 21%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfortville Villefranche
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2013 National 2 - Group B
Alfortville vs Villefranche
1:0
Aug 25, 2012 National 2 - Group B
Villefranche vs Alfortville
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfortville 37 / 100
Villefranche 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfortville Villefranche

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Villefranche or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alfortville attacking → ← attacking Villefranche

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfortville scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Villefranche let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Alfortville went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Villefranche lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 33
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Strasbourg341711647:2996
2Raon L Etape341711653:3196
3Grenoble341711663:3092
4Lyon - La Duchere341510949:3989
5Moulins341412851:3688
6Mulhouse341581146:3987
7Villefranche3412111144:4281
8PSG II3410141044:4978
9Jura Sud3410131131:3877
10Moulins-Yzeure3411101337:3577
11Sochaux II3410101430:3474
12Sarre Union3410101428:5274
13Belfort349111431:3772
14Montceau341081630:4372
15GOAL FC341071737:4771
16Auxerre II349101529:5271
17Alfortville347141325:3369
18Nancy II34891742:5167