Sport Picks

Peru

Segunda Division 2018

Hualgayoc

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alfredo Salinas play Hualgayoc in the Segunda Division 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alfredo Salinas averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Hualgayoc averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Alfredo Salinas won 0, Hualgayoc won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 21, 2018 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Alfredo Salinas and 2.19 for Hualgayoc. This points to a Hualgayoc double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

Alfredo Salinas

34%

Draws

47%

Hualgayoc

Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Hualgayoc

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Alfredo Salinas picked up more points recently compared to Hualgayoc.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 2.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Alfredo Salinas Clean Sheet 10%

Hualgayoc Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alfredo Salinas	Hualgayoc
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	14
Draws	7	9
Losses	18	7
Goals Scored	0.97	1.73
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2018 Liga 2

Alfredo Salinas vs Hualgayoc

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

0:6

Jul 8, 2018 Liga 2

Hualgayoc vs Alfredo Salinas

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Oct 8, 2017 Liga 2

Alfredo Salinas vs Hualgayoc

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Jun 18, 2017 Liga 2

Hualgayoc vs Alfredo Salinas

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfredo Salinas 19 / 100

Hualgayoc 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alfredo Salinas Hualgayoc

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hualgayoc or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +72.7%

9.09

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alfredo Salinas attacking → ← attacking Hualgayoc

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfredo Salinas scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Hualgayoc let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Alfredo Salinas went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Hualgayoc lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 51

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

3.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cesar Vallejo	28	19	5	4	55:19	62
2	Carlos Mannucci	28	16	7	5	66:30	55
3	Cienciano	28	17	4	7	63:30	55
4	Union Huaral	28	14	6	8	58:39	48
5	Hualgayoc	28	13	9	6	49:38	48
6	Juan Aurich	28	14	5	9	51:27	47
7	Alianza Atl.	28	14	5	9	48:37	47
8	Atletico Grau	28	12	6	10	58:42	42
9	Deportivo Coopsol	28	9	10	9	46:32	37
10	Los Chankas	28	11	4	13	38:36	37
11	Los Caimanes	28	7	6	15	38:57	27
12	Sport Victoria	28	6	7	15	34:54	25
13	Sport Loreto	28	6	6	16	38:68	24
14	Alfredo Salinas	28	5	6	17	25:66	21
15	Willy Serrato	28	2	4	22	23:115	10