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Alfreton vs Boston United

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Finney C.
49' Event
Trialist B
59' Event
Trialist D

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Alfreton and Boston United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boston United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Alfreton
20%
Draws
36%
Boston United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alfreton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Alfreton's 1.27 goals per match outpaces what Boston United have produced (1.21).
  • Model gives Alfreton a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 20%
Boston United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfreton Boston United
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Boston United
1:2
Apr 23, 2024 National League North
Alfreton vs Boston United
0:1
Dec 23, 2023 National League North
Boston United vs Alfreton
3:1
Sep 9, 2023 National League North
Alfreton vs Boston United
4:0
Feb 4, 2023 National League North
Alfreton vs Boston United
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfreton Compare

Top Goalscorer Finney C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Boston United Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist B
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist D
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfreton 67 / 100
Boston United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfreton Boston United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfreton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Alfreton found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

Boston United let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Alfreton remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alfreton VS Boston United
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfreton

(Home)
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Alfreton
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0
Guiseley
26 Sept
Alfreton
2 : 1
Shifnal Town
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Alfreton
05 Sept
Alfreton
0 : 2
Stratford
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Boston United

(Away)
03 Oct
Yeovil
6 : 0
Boston United
29 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Boston United
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
AFC Fylde
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3
Boston United
15 Sept
Boston United
1 : 1
Woking
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