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Alfreton vs Notts County - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Gibbons J.
34' Event
Sanders M. H.
52' Event
Iwunze H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Alfreton and Notts County finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notts County.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Alfreton
20%
Draws
29%
Notts County
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alfreton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alfreton come out ahead of Notts County on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Alfreton's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Notts County have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 20%
Notts County Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfreton Notts County
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.26 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Notts County
0:5
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Notts County
0:1
Nov 1, 2024 FA Cup
Notts County vs Alfreton
5:1
Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Notts County
2:2
Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Notts County
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfreton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Notts County Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibbons J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanders M. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfreton 40 / 100
Notts County 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfreton Notts County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfreton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Alfreton scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Notts County let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Alfreton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alfreton VS Notts County
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfreton

(Home)
06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0
United of Manchester
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Alfreton
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0
Guiseley
26 Sept
Alfreton
2 : 1
Shifnal Town
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Alfreton
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Notts County

(Away)
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1
Grimsby
19 Sept
Reading
2 : 0
Notts County
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1
Bradford City
05 Sept
Huddersfield
1 : 1
Notts County
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1
Notts County
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