Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alfreton vs Notts County

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Gibbons J.
34' Event
Sanders M. H.
52' Event
Iwunze H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Alfreton and Notts County finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notts County.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Alfreton
6%
Draws
90%
Notts County
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Notts County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Notts County come out ahead of Alfreton on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Notts County's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Notts County have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 11%
Notts County Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfreton Notts County
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Notts County
0:5
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Notts County
0:1
Nov 1, 2024 FA Cup
Notts County vs Alfreton
5:1
Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Notts County
2:2
Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Notts County
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfreton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Notts County Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibbons J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanders M. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfreton 10 / 100
Notts County 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfreton Notts County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Alfreton scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Notts County let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Notts County registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alfreton VS Notts County
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfreton

(Home)
17 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 2
Derby
14 Jul
Alfreton
1 : 2
Boston United
11 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 0
Burton
04 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 5
Notts County
25 Apr
Alfreton
3 : 3
Curzon Ashton
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Notts County

(Away)
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2
Nottingham
14 Jul
Randers FC
3 : 1
Notts County
11 Jul
Viborg
2 : 0
Notts County
04 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 5
Notts County
25 May
Notts County
3 : 0
Salford
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