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Alfreton vs Rotherham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Tavares F.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Alfreton and Rotherham finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rotherham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Alfreton
15%
Draws
37%
Rotherham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alfreton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Alfreton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alfreton are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rotherham here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 18%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfreton Rotherham
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.26 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Rotherham
0:1
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Rotherham
0:3
Jul 14, 2015 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Rotherham
3:2
Jul 29, 2014 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Rotherham
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfreton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavares F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfreton 58 / 100
Rotherham 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfreton Rotherham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfreton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfreton found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Rotherham has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Alfreton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alfreton VS Rotherham
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfreton

(Home)
06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0
United of Manchester
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Alfreton
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0
Guiseley
26 Sept
Alfreton
2 : 1
Shifnal Town
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Alfreton
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Rotherham

(Away)
06 Oct
Rotherham
0 : 4
Bradford City
03 Oct
Exeter
1 : 0
Rotherham
26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1
Crewe
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2
Rotherham
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1
Rotherham
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