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Alftanes vs Isbjorninn

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Thorsteinsson D.
35' Event
Asgeirsson B.
39' Event
Stefansson G. O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 9-0, with Alftanes advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alftanes
15%
Draws
0%
Isbjorninn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alftanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Alftanes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alftanes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Alftanes have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alftanes, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Alftanes Clean Sheet 68%
Isbjorninn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alftanes Isbjorninn
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 11 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.08
Goals Conceded 2.62 5.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.39 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2018 Icelandic Cup
Alftanes vs Isbjorninn
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alftanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorsteinsson D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Asgeirsson B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.84
Avg xA / game 1.2

Isbjorninn Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alftanes 95 / 100
Isbjorninn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alftanes Isbjorninn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alftanes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Isbjorninn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 12 matches.

H2H data points to 9.00 goals as a typical output.

Isbjorninn's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Alftanes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alftanes VS Isbjorninn
1.38 Goals Scored 1
4.25 Goals Conceded 3.4
100% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 40%
75% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Alftanes

(Home)
15 Sept
Selfoss
5 : 0
Alftanes
04 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 5
Alftanes
06 Apr
Grotta
1 : 0
Alftanes
30 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 1
Kari
17 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 2
Kria
Page 1 of 6

Isbjorninn

(Away)
09 Apr
Isbjorninn
1 : 9
Selfoss
23 Apr
Ulfarnir
2 : 0
Isbjorninn
07 Jun
Isbjorninn
4 : 5
Bjorninn
12 Apr
Midas
1 : 0
Isbjorninn
12 Apr
Alftanes
9 : 0
Isbjorninn
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Njardvik 10
KB Breidholt 1
Stokkseyri -
Kordrengir -
Vaengirs 3
Hviti 2
TBD -
Throttur -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 6
Nokkvi 0
TBD -
Magni -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 0
Alftanes 9
Dalvik/Reynir 2
UMF Geisli 0
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Akranes -
TBD -
Snaefell 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 7
Grotta 9
Vatnaliljur 0
TBD -
Selfoss -
Vidir 6
KFS 2
SR Reykjavik 0
Throttur Vogar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri 18
Kongarnir 2
TBD -
Haukar -
IR Reykjavik 1
Aegir 0
Kormakur/Hvot 0
Augnablik 17
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 6
Kria 2
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Afturelding 6
KFR 1
Ymir 2
KV Reykjavik 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
Sindri 2
Einherji 5
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Stal-Ulfur 0
Berserkir 1
Reynir 5
Hottur 1
Fjardabyggd 0
TBD -
Huginn -
Ellidi 4
Midas 1
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Kari 13
Fram 6
Armann 0
Alafoss 1
GG Grindavik 5
Tindastoll -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
Hamar 1
Arborg 0
Ulfarnir 0
Lettir 1
KFG Gardabaer 5
Afrika Reykjavik 0
TBD -
Olafsvik -
1/32-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Njardvik 2
Kordrengir 0
Vaengirs 0
Throttur 2
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 0
Magni 5
Kopavogur 5
Alftanes 0
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Akranes 8
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Grotta 2
Selfoss 3
Vidir 2
Throttur Vogar 1
TBD -
Grindavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Vestri 1
Haukar 3
IR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 0
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Breidablik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Afturelding 8
KV Reykjavik 2
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 0
Einherji 1
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 0
Reynir 9
Hottur 3
Huginn 0
Ellidi 1
Kari 9
Fram 10
GG Grindavik 0
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 7
Hamar 1
Lettir 0
KFG Gardabaer 0
Olafsvik 5
1/16-finals
Stjarnan 2
Fylkir 1
Njardvik 2
Throttur 4
Fjolnir 3
Magni 1
Kopavogur 2
Thor Akureyri 3
Akranes 4
Selfoss 1
Vidir 2
Grindavik 4
KA Akureyri 2
Haukar 1
IR Reykjavik 0
Hafnarfjordur 5
Breidablik 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 1
KR Reykjavik 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Einherji 2
Keflavik 0
Valur 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Reynir 0
Hottur 2
Kari 5
Fram 2
Volsungur 1
Hamar 3
Olafsvik 5
1/8-finals
Stjarnan 5
Throttur 0
Fjolnir 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Akranes 2
Grindavik 1
KA Akureyri 0
Hafnarfjordur 1
Breidablik 1
KR Reykjavik 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Valur 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Kari 3
Fram 0
Olafsvik 1
Quarter-finals
Stjarnan 2
Thor Akureyri 1
Akranes 0
Hafnarfjordur 1
Breidablik 2
Valur 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Olafsvik 1
Semi-finals
Stjarnan 2
Hafnarfjordur 0
Breidablik 3
Olafsvik 2
Final
Stjarnan 1
Breidablik 0