Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Ingolfsson S.
26'
26'
Bjarnason H.
30'
30'
Ingolfsson S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-2. This leg finished 5-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alftanes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alftanes lately — more wins on the board than Kria.
- Alftanes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Alftanes have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Alftanes, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alftanes Clean Sheet 10%
Kria Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alftanes | Kria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 19 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 2.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.54 | 3.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.88 | 3.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Alftanes vs Kria
5:2
May 19, 2015 Icelandic Cup
Kria vs Alftanes
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alftanes Compare
Top Goalscorer Ingolfsson S.
4 Goals Assists Leader Bjarnason H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44
Kria Compare
Top Goalscorer Snorrason T.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 3.24
Avg xA / game 1.98
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alftanes 83 / 100
Kria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alftanes Kria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alftanes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kria has conceded goals in 95% of their last 19 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Alftanes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Kria has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Alftanes VS Kria
1.63 Goals Scored 3.13
4 Goals Conceded 4.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Alftanes
(Home) 04 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 5 Alftanes
06 Apr
Grotta
1 : 0 Alftanes
30 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 1 Kari
17 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 2 Kria
16 Jul
Alftanes
4 : 7 Ymir
Page 1 of 6
30 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 1 Kari
17 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 2 Kria
16 Jul
Alftanes
4 : 7 Ymir
30 Mar
Alftanes
0 : 3 Haukar
30 Apr
Alftanes
0 : 2 IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 3
Kria
(Away) 17 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 2 Kria
06 Apr
Leiknir Reykjavik
5 : 0 Kria
28 Mar
Lettir
1 : 2 Kria
04 Apr
Kria
1 : 2 Ulfarnir
11 Apr
Kria
0 : 10 Fjolnir
Page 1 of 4
17 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 2 Kria
06 Apr
Leiknir Reykjavik
5 : 0 Kria
28 Mar
Lettir
1 : 2 Kria
31 Mar
KB Breidholt
2 : 4 Kria
01 May
KFS
4 : 0 Kria
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 2
Neisti 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 7
Stokkseyri 3
Arbaer 1
Hafnir 0
Aegir -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 1
Reynir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
Olafsvik 3
Arborg 2
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 2
Haukar 3
KFR -
IH Hafnarfjordur -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Ellidi 9
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Alafoss 1
Fjolnir 4
KFG Gardabaer 2
Vidir 3
Kopavogur -
TBD -
BF 108 5
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 5
KB Breidholt 0
Spyrnir -
Sindri -
TBD -
KFA -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Smari 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 4
Hamar 2
Alftanes 5
Kria 2
SR Reykjavik 2
Kari 8
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Ymir 7
Falkar 0
KFS -
Thorlakur -
Tindastoll 3
Fjallabyggd 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Magni 3
Njardvik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 0
Selfoss 3
IBU 1
Augnablik 12
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn 5
Neisti 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 3
Arbaer 5
Aegir 2
Reynir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Throttur 3
Olafsvik 1
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 3
KFR 0
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 2
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjolnir 2
Vidir 1
Kopavogur 4
BF 108 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir 6
KV Reykjavik 0
Sindri 0
KFA 1
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Smari 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 1
Alftanes 5
Kari 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Afturelding 3
Ymir 10
KFS 0
Tindastoll 3
Magni 1
Njardvik 5
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Selfoss 7
Augnablik 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 5
Arbaer 1
Aegir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Breidablik 6
Akranes 4
Haukar 0
Grindavik 2
Keflavik 1
Fjolnir 3
Kopavogur 4
Fram 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 2
KFA 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
Vestri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Grotta 1
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 6
Ymir 1
Tindastoll 0
Njardvik 1
Stjarnan 2
Selfoss 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Valur 2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Aegir 2
Throttur 1
Breidablik 2
Akranes 3
Grindavik 2
Kopavogur 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 5
Hafnarfjordur 0
Vestri 0
Grotta 4
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 2
Stjarnan 2
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
Aegir 0
Breidablik 3
Akranes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 4
Grotta 2
Afturelding 3
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Fylkir 1
Afturelding 2
Final
Breidablik -
Afturelding -
