Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Reynir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alftanes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Alftanes carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Alftanes a 64% chance of winning this.
- Alftanes have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Reynir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Alftanes Clean Sheet 10%
Reynir Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alftanes | Reynir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.62 | 2.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.42 | 2.12 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2016 Icelandic Cup
Alftanes vs Reynir
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alftanes 65 / 100
Reynir 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alftanes Reynir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alftanes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Reynir conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.
Alftanes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Away concern: Reynir has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Alftanes scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alftanes VS Reynir
2.71 Goals Scored 1.38
2.86 Goals Conceded 2.13
86% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 88%
71% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Alftanes
(Home) 15 Sept
Selfoss
5 : 0 Alftanes
04 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 5 Alftanes
06 Apr
Grotta
1 : 0 Alftanes
30 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 1 Kari
17 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 2 Kria
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30 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 1 Kari
17 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 2 Kria
16 Jul
Alftanes
4 : 7 Ymir
30 Mar
Alftanes
0 : 3 Haukar
30 Apr
Alftanes
0 : 2 IR Reykjavik
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Reynir
(Away) 04 Aug
Haukar
3 : 2 Reynir
28 Mar
Aegir
2 : 0 Reynir
21 Mar
RB Keflavik
1 : 7 Reynir
16 Jul
Olafsvik
3 : 1 Reynir
04 Apr
Reynir
0 : 5 Grindavik
Page 1 of 7
04 Aug
Haukar
3 : 2 Reynir
28 Mar
Aegir
2 : 0 Reynir
21 Mar
RB Keflavik
1 : 7 Reynir
16 Jul
Olafsvik
3 : 1 Reynir
29 Mar
KFG Gardabaer
2 : 3 Reynir
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Hviti 6
Gnupverjar 2
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Reynir 1
Alftanes 0
Vatnaliljur 1
Hamar 2
KH Hlidarendi 8
Snaefell 0
TBD -
Vestri -
Vidir 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Berserkir 15
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Sindri 3
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik 2
Kari 1
TBD -
Selfoss -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Haukar -
TBD -
Kongarnir 0
KFR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Grindavik -
TBD -
Ymir 0
Orninn 4
Tindastoll 2
Dalvik/Reynir 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Stokkseyri 1
Skallagrimur 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 4
Isbjorninn 1
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Kria 2
KV Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olafsvik -
Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Hottur 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Throttur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Nokkvi 0
Volsungur 1
Augnablik 2
Arborg 0
Midas 0
Vaengirs 1
Throttur Vogar 2
Stal-Ulfur 1
TBD -
Grotta -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Kjalnesinga 0
Lettir 3
KFS 2
GG Grindavik 1
Aegir 0
KFG Gardabaer 2
Fjallabyggd -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 0
Magni 15
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
Fram 1
Afturelding 0
Hviti 0
Kopavogur 1
Reynir 4
Hamar 1
KH Hlidarendi 0
Vestri 4
Vidir 4
Berserkir 1
Fjardabyggd 0
Sindri 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Njardvik 1
Selfoss 2
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Haukar 4
KFR 0
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Grindavik 1
Orninn 0
Tindastoll 1
KA Akureyri 2
Keflavik 2
Skallagrimur 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Breidablik -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 5
KV Reykjavik 1
IR Reykjavik 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
Olafsvik -
Huginn 1
Hottur 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Throttur -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri 1
Volsungur 2
Augnablik 3
Vaengirs 2
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 8
Lettir 0
KFS 1
KFG Gardabaer 9
Fjallabyggd 3
Magni 2
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
Fram 2
Kopavogur 0
Reynir 1
Vestri 2
Vidir 2
Sindri 0
KR Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 2
Valur 1
Fjolnir 0
Haukar 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 1
KA Akureyri 0
Keflavik 1
Fylkir 2
Breidablik 3
Kria 0
KV Reykjavik 0
Akranes 1
Stjarnan 3
Olafsvik 2
Huginn 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Volsungur 1
Augnablik 1
Grotta 6
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
KFG Gardabaer 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Hafnarfjordur 9
1/8-finals
Fram 3
Vestri 2
Vidir 3
Selfoss 4
Valur 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 0
Fylkir 2
Breidablik 2
Akranes 1
Stjarnan 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 4
Grotta 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 4
Quarter-finals
Fram 0
Selfoss 2
Valur 5
Fylkir 0
Breidablik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Throttur 0
Hafnarfjordur 3
Semi-finals
Selfoss 1
Valur 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
Final
Valur 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
