Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Hreinsson E. M.
AI Match Summary
Alftanes in this Icelandic Cup 2017 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alftanes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Alftanes have won more games recently than Vestri.
- Model gives Alftanes a 59% chance of winning this.
- Alftanes have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Alftanes, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Alftanes Clean Sheet 19%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alftanes | Vestri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.54 | 2.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2017 Icelandic Cup
Alftanes vs Vestri
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alftanes Compare
Top Goalscorer Hreinsson E. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5
Vestri Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alftanes 85 / 100
Vestri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alftanes Vestri
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alftanes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Vestri conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.
Alftanes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Vestri lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Alftanes's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Alftanes VS Vestri
5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alftanes
(Home) 04 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 5 Alftanes
06 Apr
Grotta
1 : 0 Alftanes
30 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 1 Kari
17 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 2 Kria
16 Jul
Alftanes
4 : 7 Ymir
Page 1 of 6
30 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 1 Kari
17 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 2 Kria
16 Jul
Alftanes
4 : 7 Ymir
30 Mar
Alftanes
0 : 3 Haukar
30 Apr
Alftanes
0 : 2 IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 3
Vestri
(Away) 17 Aug
Volsungur
2 : 0 Vestri
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0 IR Reykjavik
08 Aug
Njardvik
3 : 1 Vestri
03 Aug
Vestri
0 : 3 Grotta
30 Jul
Vestri
1 : 1 RFS
Page 1 of 7
17 Aug
Volsungur
2 : 0 Vestri
08 Aug
Njardvik
3 : 1 Vestri
23 Jul
RFS
4 : 1 Vestri
20 Jul
Kopavogur
6 : 2 Vestri
09 Jul
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 0 Vestri
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GG Grindavik 7
Snaefell 1
KV Reykjavik 0
Throttur Vogar 2
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Stal-Ulfur 1
Njardvik 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Fjardabyggd 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reynir 7
Kordrengir 1
TBD -
Haukar -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 3
Tindastoll 6
Alftanes 1
Vestri 0
Ymir 2
Aegir 3
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nokkvi 7
UMF Geisli 1
TBD -
Magni -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 0
SR Reykjavik 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Huginn -
TBD -
Hottur 4
Sindri 5
Kari 6
Lettir 2
Isbjorninn 0
Augnablik 6
Kormakur/Hvot 6
Ellidi 3
TBD -
Selfoss -
Vidir 4
Midas 1
TBD -
Keflavik -
Hamar 4
KFS 1
KB Breidholt 1
Arborg 5
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 2
Ulfarnir 1
TBD -
Fylkir -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
Fram -
Berserkir 3
Skallagrimur 1
Gnupverjar 1
KFR 2
KFG Gardabaer 4
Vaengirs 1
Afturelding 0
Grotta 1
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dalvik/Reynir 4
Drangley 0
TBD -
Volsungur -
Throttur -
TBD -
Kongarnir 1
Afrika Reykjavik 3
Stokkseyri 1
Kria 0
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
1/32-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
GG Grindavik 0
Throttur Vogar 3
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
IR Reykjavik 2
Njardvik 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Leiknir Faskruds 2
Fjardabyggd 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Reynir 0
Haukar 4
Thor Akureyri 2
Tindastoll 1
Alftanes 0
Aegir 2
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Nokkvi 1
Magni 5
KH Hlidarendi 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
Huginn 1
Sindri 4
Kari 3
Augnablik 0
Kormakur/Hvot 0
Selfoss 8
Vidir 1
Keflavik 0
Hamar 0
Arborg 1
Breidablik -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 0
Fylkir 7
Akranes -
TBD -
Kopavogur 0
Fram 1
Berserkir 3
KFR 0
KFG Gardabaer 0
Grotta 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Volsungur 2
Throttur 11
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Stokkseyri 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
1/16-finals
Stjarnan 1
Throttur Vogar 0
Olafsvik 0
Valur 1
IR Reykjavik 3
KA Akureyri 1
Leiknir Faskruds 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Haukar 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Aegir 1
Fjolnir 2
Magni 1
KH Hlidarendi 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Hafnarfjordur 6
Sindri 1
Kari 2
Selfoss 3
Vidir 1
Arborg 0
Breidablik 0
Fylkir 1
Akranes 4
Fram 3
Berserkir 1
Grotta 4
Grindavik 7
Volsungur 1
Throttur 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
1/8-finals
Stjarnan 2
Valur 1
IR Reykjavik 1
KR Reykjavik 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Aegir 1
Fjolnir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
Hafnarfjordur 2
Selfoss 1
Vidir 0
Fylkir 5
Akranes 2
Grotta 1
Grindavik 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Quarter-finals
Stjarnan 3
KR Reykjavik 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Hafnarfjordur 1
Fylkir 0
Akranes 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Semi-finals
Stjarnan 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Hafnarfjordur 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Final
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
