Sport Picks
Algarna-Harnosand vs IFK Ostersund
Sweden
Division 2 - Norrland 2024 
Match Events
20'
20'
Afzali M.
23'
23'
Djafer-Bey M.
70'
70'
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
IFK Ostersund in this Division 2 - Norrland 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored IFK Ostersund.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Ostersund
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to IFK Ostersund lately — more wins on the board than Algarna-Harnosand.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on IFK Ostersund taking it.
- Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- IFK Ostersund have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Algarna-Harnosand Clean Sheet 20%
IFK Ostersund Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Algarna-Harnosand | IFK Ostersund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 2 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 22 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.07 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 10, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs IFK Ostersund
1:3
Apr 7, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Algarna-Harnosand
4:1
Jul 29, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs IFK Ostersund
2:2
Apr 10, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Algarna-Harnosand
3:0
Sep 17, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Algarna-Harnosand
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Algarna-Harnosand Compare
Top Goalscorer Afzali M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
IFK Ostersund Compare
Top Goalscorer Djafer-Bey M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Boden A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Algarna-Harnosand 10 / 100
IFK Ostersund 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Algarna-Harnosand IFK Ostersund
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IFK Ostersund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Algarna-Harnosand's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
IFK Ostersund has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Away concern: IFK Ostersund has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS IFK Ostersund
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Algarna-Harnosand
(Home) 19 Oct
Umea FF
4 : 0 Algarna-Harnosand
12 Oct
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3 Boden
06 Oct
Gottne IF
7 : 2 Algarna-Harnosand
28 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
1 : 3 IFK Lulea
21 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3 Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6
12 Oct
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3 Boden
28 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
1 : 3 IFK Lulea
21 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3 Skelleftea
31 Aug
Algarna-Harnosand
3 : 4 Taftea IK
24 Aug
Algarna-Harnosand
6 : 2 Froso IF
Page 1 of 3
IFK Ostersund
(Away) 26 Sept
IFK Ostersund
2 : 0 Boden
20 Sept
Taftea IK
2 : 1 IFK Ostersund
16 Sept
IFK Ostersund
4 : 0 Gottne IF
12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0 Skelleftea
05 Sept
Skelleftea
2 : 2 IFK Ostersund
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Taftea IK
2 : 1 IFK Ostersund
05 Sept
Skelleftea
2 : 2 IFK Ostersund
22 Aug
Boden
2 : 2 IFK Ostersund
12 Aug
Gottne IF
4 : 0 IFK Ostersund
01 Aug
IFK Lulea
4 : 3 IFK Ostersund
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Umea FF | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 86:19 | 66 |
| 2 | Boden | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 75:24 | 66 |
| 3 | Bergnasets AIK | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 53:46 | 50 |
| 4 | Skelleftea | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 54:32 | 47 |
| 5 | IFK Ostersund | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 50:35 | 44 |
| 6 | Ytterhogdal | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 44:36 | 44 |
| 7 | IFK Lulea | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 40:41 | 40 |
| 8 | Gottne IF | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 44:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Umea FC Akademi | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 40:62 | 27 |
| 10 | Kiruna | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 23:49 | 26 |
| 11 | Lucksta IF | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 43:62 | 25 |
| 12 | Taftea IK | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 38:56 | 24 |
| 13 | Froso IF | 26 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 33:78 | 14 |
| 14 | Algarna-Harnosand | 26 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 34:80 | 9 |
| 15 | Sandvik | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Relegation)
