Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Algarna-Harnosand vs Umea FF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kamf V.
42' Event
Bel Mekki Z.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Kamf V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland 2024 game between Algarna-Harnosand and Umea FF finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Algarna-Harnosand
15%
Draws
85%
Umea FF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umea FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Algarna-Harnosand haven't matched Umea FF's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Umea FF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
Algarna-Harnosand Clean Sheet 23%
Umea FF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algarna-Harnosand Umea FF
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 1.36 1.67
Goals Conceded 3.07 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FF vs Algarna-Harnosand
4:0
Jun 1, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Umea FF
2:2
Aug 12, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Umea FF
1:2
Apr 16, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FF vs Algarna-Harnosand
5:1
Sep 25, 2010 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Umea FF
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algarna-Harnosand Compare

Top Goalscorer Bel Mekki Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Umea FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamf V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algarna-Harnosand 10 / 100
Umea FF 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algarna-Harnosand Umea FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea FF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Algarna-Harnosand scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Umea FF conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Umea FF's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Umea FF
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Algarna-Harnosand

(Home)
19 Oct
Umea FF
4 : 0
Algarna-Harnosand
12 Oct
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Boden
06 Oct
Gottne IF
7 : 2
Algarna-Harnosand
28 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
1 : 3
IFK Lulea
21 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

Umea FF

(Away)
12 Sept
Umea FF
0 : 3
Storfors AIK
05 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 2
Umea FF
29 Aug
Friska Viljor
1 : 4
Umea FF
21 Aug
Umea FF
4 : 0
IFK Umea
15 Aug
Umea FF
2 : 0
Umea FC Akademi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Umea FF 26 21 3 2 86:19 66
2 Boden 26 21 3 2 75:24 66
3 Bergnasets AIK 26 16 2 8 53:46 50
4 Skelleftea 26 14 5 7 54:32 47
5 IFK Ostersund 26 13 5 8 50:35 44
6 Ytterhogdal 26 13 5 8 44:36 44
7 IFK Lulea 26 11 7 8 40:41 40
8 Gottne IF 26 10 6 10 44:37 36
9 Umea FC Akademi 26 8 3 15 40:62 27
10 Kiruna 26 7 5 14 23:49 26
11 Lucksta IF 26 7 4 15 43:62 25
12 Taftea IK 26 7 3 16 38:56 24
13 Froso IF 26 4 2 20 33:78 14
14 Algarna-Harnosand 26 2 3 21 34:80 9
15 Sandvik 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Relegation)