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Algeciras vs FC Cartagena SAD

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Nuevo Mirador
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Redondo L.
15' Event
Garcia J.
17'
Martin A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Algeciras
39%
Draws
31%
FC Cartagena SAD
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Algeciras lately — more wins on the board than FC Cartagena SAD.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 68%
FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeciras FC Cartagena SAD
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs FC Cartagena SAD
2:2
Oct 17, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
FC Cartagena SAD vs Algeciras
2:0
Feb 23, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Algeciras vs FC Cartagena SAD
1:1
Oct 6, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
FC Cartagena SAD vs Algeciras
2:0
Apr 3, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
FC Cartagena SAD vs Algeciras
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeciras Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rastrojo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Cartagena SAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeciras 41 / 100
FC Cartagena SAD 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeciras FC Cartagena SAD

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Algeciras scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

FC Cartagena SAD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Algeciras has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Algeciras VS FC Cartagena SAD
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eldense381912757:3969
2Sabadell381814653:2768
3Atl. Madrid B381910964:4467
4Villarreal B381615754:3263
5CE Europa3816121055:5060
6FC Cartagena SAD3815121137:3857
7Antequera381681447:4456
8Algeciras3815101340:4155
9Hercules3814121243:4154
10Murcia3814101443:4052
11Alcorcon3812151144:3851
12UD Ibiza3813111444:3850
13Teruel3812131327:3349
14Gimnastic de Tarragona381381740:4947
15Torremolinos3811131445:5146
16Betis B381291748:5945
17Tarazona3811121531:4045
18Marbella38972236:5534
19Sanluqueno387102127:5331
20Sevilla B385132021:4428