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Algeciras vs Hercules - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Algeciras host Hercules in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Algeciras have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Hercules's 1 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Algeciras have won 2 to Hercules's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 0.94, favoring Algeciras. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Algeciras
20%
Draws
47%
Hercules
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Hercules haven't matched Algeciras's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 20%
Hercules Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeciras Hercules
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs Hercules
0:2
Sep 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Algeciras
0:1
May 11, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Algeciras
1:2
Oct 11, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs Hercules
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeciras 32 / 100
Hercules 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeciras Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeciras found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Hercules has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Algeciras went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Algeciras VS Hercules
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeciras

(Home)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1
Algeciras
Page 1 of 6

Hercules

(Away)
03 Oct
Hercules
0 : 0
Jaen
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
12 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 2
Hercules
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
6 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
7 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
8 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
9 UD Ibiza 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
11 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
12 Real Madrid B 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)