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Algeciras vs Montilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Algeciras in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Algeciras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Algeciras
15%
Draws
26%
Montilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Algeciras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Algeciras lately — more wins on the board than Montilla.
  • Algeciras are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 20%
Montilla Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeciras Montilla
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.39 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Algeciras vs Montilla
4:0
Jan 6, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Montilla vs Algeciras
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeciras 85 / 100
Montilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeciras Montilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeciras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeciras's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Montilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Algeciras went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Algeciras VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeciras

(Home)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1
Algeciras
Page 1 of 8

Montilla

(Away)
31 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 0
Montilla
19 Oct
Montilla
0 : 1
Rincon
19 May
Algeciras
4 : 0
Montilla
12 May
Montilla
3 : 1
Conil
05 May
Mairena
2 : 0
Montilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeciras 38 21 13 4 65:27 76
2 Cordoba B 38 21 12 5 59:22 75
3 Coria C.F. 38 19 11 8 64:37 68
4 Mairena 38 17 14 7 47:28 65
5 AD Ceuta 38 18 9 11 63:38 63
6 Cabecense 38 14 17 7 52:35 59
7 CD Alcala 38 16 10 12 49:39 58
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:57 50
9 San Roque de Cadiz 37 14 8 15 45:55 50
10 Portuense 37 11 16 10 35:33 49
11 Cadiz B 38 12 11 15 36:47 47
12 Conil 38 11 12 15 46:56 45
13 Sevilla C 38 10 14 14 40:46 44
14 CMD San Juan 38 10 13 15 35:44 43
15 Pozoblanco 38 10 11 17 30:50 41
16 Arcos CF 38 11 8 19 37:59 41
17 Ayamonte 38 11 7 20 35:61 40
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 34:51 40
19 Los Barrios 38 9 11 18 30:55 38
20 Montilla 38 9 6 23 37:56 33
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)