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Algeciras vs Real Madrid B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Algeciras host Real Madrid B in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. This one's hard to separate. Algeciras have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.2 conceded recently, against Real Madrid B's 1.68 scored and 1.26 conceded. Past meetings favor Algeciras slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2025, ending 1:4. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.19) point toward Algeciras. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Algeciras
30%
Draws
31%
Real Madrid B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Algeciras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Algeciras have won more games recently than Real Madrid B.
  • Model gives Algeciras a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 68%
Real Madrid B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeciras Real Madrid B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 12
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs Real Madrid B
1:4
Oct 27, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid B vs Algeciras
1:1
Feb 17, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs Real Madrid B
3:0
Nov 19, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid B vs Algeciras
1:2
May 27, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Algeciras vs Real Madrid B
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeciras 50 / 100
Real Madrid B 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeciras Real Madrid B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeciras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeciras's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Real Madrid B let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Algeciras stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Algeciras VS Real Madrid B
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeciras

(Home)
17 Oct
Algeciras
2 : 0
Hercules
11 Oct
CE Europa
2 : 1
Algeciras
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 6

Real Madrid B

(Away)
18 Oct
Real Madrid B
3 : 2
Antequera
09 Oct
UD Ibiza
1 : 1
Real Madrid B
02 Oct
Real Madrid B
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2
Alcorcon
23 Sept
Sant Andreu
1 : 1
Real Madrid B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarreal B 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
2 Zaragoza 8 5 2 1 16:10 17
3 Murcia 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
4 FC Cartagena SAD 8 4 3 1 13:5 15
5 Jaen 8 4 3 1 12:8 15
6 Alcorcon 8 3 4 1 14:6 13
7 UD Ibiza 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
8 Hercules 8 4 1 3 6:7 13
9 Real Madrid B 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
10 Huesca 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
11 Gimnastic de Tarragona 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
12 Antequera 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
13 Algeciras 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
14 Atl. Madrid B 8 2 3 3 16:14 9
15 Sant Andreu 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
16 CE Europa 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
17 Aguilas FC 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
18 Teruel 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
19 Rayo Majadahonda 8 1 1 6 5:9 4
20 Torremolinos 8 0 3 5 10:20 3
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)