Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Algeciras vs Tarazona

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras
Our Tip

Match Events

48'
Sub
Traore B. In: Alonso I.
Out: Traore B.
52'
Jimenez A.
61'
Rastrojo J.

AI Match Summary

Algeciras in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Algeciras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Algeciras
30%
Draws
39%
Tarazona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tarazona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Algeciras lately — more wins on the board than Tarazona.
  • Win probability leans Algeciras's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 68%
Tarazona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeciras Tarazona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs Tarazona
1:0
Jan 11, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Tarazona vs Algeciras
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeciras Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tarazona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeciras 51 / 100
Tarazona 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeciras Tarazona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeciras found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Tarazona let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Algeciras remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Algeciras VS Tarazona
1 Goals Scored 0.33
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeciras

(Home)
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1
Algeciras
29 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 3
FC Cartagena SAD
Page 1 of 6

Tarazona

(Away)
23 May
Tarazona
0 : 2
Sabadell
16 May
Betis B
3 : 0
Tarazona
10 May
Tarazona
2 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
03 May
Teruel
0 : 0
Tarazona
26 Apr
Tarazona
0 : 0
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)