Sport Picks
Match Events
80'
80'
Bakrar M.
Penalty Missed
85'
85'
Fatawu I.
90'
90'
Bekkouche C.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ghana U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Algeria U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Algeria U23's way, sitting at 40%.
- Algeria U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ghana U23, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Algeria U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Ghana U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Algeria U23 | Ghana U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Ghana U23 vs Algeria U23
1:0
Mar 24, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Algeria U23 vs Ghana U23
1:1
Sep 10, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Algeria U23 vs Ghana U23
0:1
Sep 6, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Ghana U23 vs Algeria U23
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Algeria U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Ghana U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Fatawu I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Algeria U23 50 / 100
Ghana U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Algeria U23 Ghana U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Algeria U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Algeria U23 found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Ghana U23 conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Algeria U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Algeria U23 VS Ghana U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Algeria U23
(Home) 04 Oct
South Africa U23
1 : 1 Algeria U23
01 Oct
South Africa U23
3 : 1 Algeria U23
09 Jun
Algeria U23
1 : 3 Mauritania U23
05 Jun
Algeria U23
2 : 0 Mauritania U23
30 Mar
Algeria U23
1 : 0 D.R. Congo U23
Page 1 of 7
09 Jun
Algeria U23
1 : 3 Mauritania U23
05 Jun
Algeria U23
2 : 0 Mauritania U23
30 Mar
Algeria U23
1 : 0 D.R. Congo U23
27 Mar
Algeria U23
1 : 0 D.R. Congo U23
24 Mar
Algeria U23
1 : 1 Ghana U23
Page 1 of 3
Ghana U23
(Away) 30 Jun
Guinea U23
1 : 1 Ghana U23
27 Jun
Morocco U23
5 : 1 Ghana U23
25 Jun
Ghana U23
3 : 2 Congo U23
15 Jun
Egypt U23
1 : 1 Ghana U23
28 Mar
Ghana U23
1 : 0 Algeria U23
Page 1 of 6
30 Jun
Guinea U23
1 : 1 Ghana U23
27 Jun
Morocco U23
5 : 1 Ghana U23
15 Jun
Egypt U23
1 : 1 Ghana U23
24 Mar
Algeria U23
1 : 1 Ghana U23
23 Oct
Mozambique U23
1 : 2 Ghana U23
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1
