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Stadium Background

Algeria vs D.R. Congo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Prince Moulay Hassan, Rabat
Tue, Jan 6, 2026
1 - 0
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Sub
Bennacer I. In: Abdelli H.
Out: Bennacer I.
62'
Sub
Elia M. In: Mbuku N.
Out: Elia M.
69'
Sub
Mukau N. In: Kakuta G.
Out: Mukau N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Algeria advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Algeria
30%
Draws
33%
D.R. Congo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Algeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Algeria's 1.87 goals per match outpaces what D.R. Congo have produced (1.41).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Algeria taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Algeria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Algeria Clean Sheet 18%
D.R. Congo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeria D.R. Congo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.87 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Algeria vs D.R. Congo
1:0
Jun 9, 2022 Friendly International
Algeria vs D.R. Congo
3:0
Oct 10, 2019 Friendly International
Algeria vs D.R. Congo
1:1
Mar 26, 2008 Friendly International
Algeria vs D.R. Congo
1:1
Jan 24, 2000 Africa Cup of Nations
D.R. Congo vs Algeria
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Boulbina A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

D.R. Congo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 41 / 100
D.R. Congo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeria D.R. Congo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Algeria scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Algeria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: D.R. Congo conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS D.R. Congo
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)
06 Oct
Algeria
2 : 1
Niger
29 Sept
Burundi
2 : 2
Algeria
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
Page 1 of 6

D.R. Congo

(Away)
05 Oct
Uganda
1 : 1
D.R. Congo
02 Oct
D.R. Congo
0 : 2
Uganda
28 Sept
Zimbabwe
1 : 2
D.R. Congo
24 Sept
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Equatorial Guinea
01 Jul
England
2 : 1
D.R. Congo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mali 2
Tunisia 1
Senegal 3
Sudan 1
Egypt 3
Benin 1
Ivory Coast 3
Burkina Faso 0
Algeria 1
D.R. Congo 0
Nigeria 4
Mozambique 0
South Africa 1
Cameroon 2
Morocco 1
Tanzania 0
Quarter-finals
Mali 0
Senegal 1
Egypt 3
Ivory Coast 2
Algeria 0
Nigeria 2
Cameroon 0
Morocco 2
Semi-finals
Senegal 1
Egypt 0
Nigeria 0
Morocco 1
Final
Senegal 0
Morocco 3
Egypt 0
Nigeria 1