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Algeria vs Niger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium, Tizi Ouzou
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Match Events

12' Event
Ndri K.
Assist: Alhassane R.
24'
Sub
Badamassi O. In: Amadou Sabo M.
Out: Badamassi O.
40'
Sub
Maza I. In: Belloumi M.
Out: Maza I.

AI Match Summary

Algeria in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Algeria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Algeria
30%
Draws
23%
Niger
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Algeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Niger haven't matched Algeria's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Algeria a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Algeria have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Algeria Clean Sheet 20%
Niger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeria Niger
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 17 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.87 1
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Friendly International
Algeria vs Niger
2:1
Aug 18, 2025 African Nations Championship
Algeria vs Niger
0:0
Mar 27, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Niger vs Algeria
0:1
Mar 23, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Algeria vs Niger
2:1
Jan 31, 2023 African Nations Championship
Algeria vs Niger
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Belloumi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Niger Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndri K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 67 / 100
Niger 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeria Niger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Algeria scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Niger conceded in 62% of 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Algeria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS Niger
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)
06 Oct
Algeria
2 : 1
Niger
29 Sept
Burundi
2 : 2
Algeria
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
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Niger

(Away)
06 Oct
Algeria
2 : 1
Niger
29 Sept
Gabon
2 : 0
Niger
25 Sept
Niger
2 : 1
Lesotho
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
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