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Algeria vs Rwanda

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stade Mustapha Tchaker, Blida
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Belaili Y.
Assist: Boudaoui H.
36'
Kagere M.
46'
Sub
Bensebaini R. In: Barka M.
Out: Bensebaini R.

AI Match Summary

Algeria in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Algeria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Algeria
15%
Draws
48%
Rwanda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rwanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Algeria have won more games recently than Rwanda.
  • Win probability leans Algeria's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Algeria have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Algeria Clean Sheet 20%
Rwanda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeria Rwanda
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 19 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.94 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2025 Friendly International
Algeria vs Rwanda
2:0
Jun 5, 2025 Friendly International
Algeria vs Rwanda
2:0
Jun 16, 2013 World Championship
Rwanda vs Algeria
0:1
Jun 2, 2012 World Championship
Algeria vs Rwanda
4:0
Oct 11, 2009 World Championship
Algeria vs Rwanda
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Belaili Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hadjam J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Rwanda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 36 / 100
Rwanda 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeria Rwanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Algeria scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Rwanda let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Algeria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS Rwanda
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0
Algeria
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
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Rwanda

(Away)
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
14 Oct
South Africa
3 : 0
Rwanda
10 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 1
Benin
09 Sept
Zimbabwe
0 : 1
Rwanda
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