Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Algeria vs Rwanda

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stade Mustapha Tchaker, Blida
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Belaili Y.
Assist: Boudaoui H.
36'
Kagere M.
46'
Sub
Bensebaini R. In: Barka M.
Out: Bensebaini R.

AI Match Summary

Algeria in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Algeria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Algeria
30%
Draws
43%
Rwanda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rwanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Algeria have won more games recently than Rwanda.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Algeria have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Algeria Clean Sheet 20%
Rwanda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeria Rwanda
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.87 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2025 Friendly International
Algeria vs Rwanda
2:0
Jun 5, 2025 Friendly International
Algeria vs Rwanda
2:0
Jun 16, 2013 World Championship
Rwanda vs Algeria
0:1
Jun 2, 2012 World Championship
Algeria vs Rwanda
4:0
Oct 11, 2009 World Championship
Algeria vs Rwanda
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Belaili Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hadjam J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Rwanda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 32 / 100
Rwanda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeria Rwanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rwanda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Algeria scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Rwanda let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Algeria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS Rwanda
1.88 Goals Scored 1.57
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.29
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)
29 Sept
Burundi
2 : 2
Algeria
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
Page 1 of 7

Rwanda

(Away)
05 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 0
Kenya
29 Sept
Cape Verde
1 : 2
Rwanda
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1
Liberia
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
Page 1 of 6