Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Algeria W vs Senegal W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Stade Olympique de Rabat, Rabat
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Ndiaye N.
42' Event
Dafeur M.
(Penalty)
58'
Sub
Drame F. In: Pene S.
Out: Drame F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Algeria W
15%
Draws
37%
Senegal W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Algeria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Senegal W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Algeria W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Senegal W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Algeria W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Algeria W Clean Sheet 68%
Senegal W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeria W Senegal W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Algeria W vs Senegal W
2:0
Jul 1, 2025 Friendly International Women
Algeria W vs Senegal W
0:3
Jul 18, 2023 Friendly International Women
Senegal W vs Algeria W
4:0
Jul 14, 2023 Friendly International Women
Senegal W vs Algeria W
3:1
Apr 10, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Algeria W vs Senegal W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bethi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Senegal W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria W 50 / 100
Senegal W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeria W Senegal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeria W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeria W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Algeria W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Senegal W conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Algeria W VS Senegal W
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria W

(Home)
15 Aug
Morocco W
1 : 2
Algeria W
12 Aug
Algeria W
1 : 3
Malawi W
08 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Algeria W
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Morocco W
1 : 0
Algeria W
Page 1 of 6

Senegal W

(Away)
03 Aug
Senegal W
0 : 0
Morocco W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Algeria W
2 : 0
Senegal W
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
08 Jul
Egypt W
0 : 1
Senegal W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)