Sport Picks

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Algeti Marneuli vs Chiatura

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Algeti Marneuli in this Liga 3 2018 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Algeti Marneuli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Algeti Marneuli
20%
Draws
11%
Chiatura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Algeti Marneuli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Algeti Marneuli have won more games recently than Chiatura.
  • Algeti Marneuli are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Algeti Marneuli Clean Sheet 10%
Chiatura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeti Marneuli Chiatura
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.43 0.94
Goals Conceded 2 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2018 Liga 3
Algeti Marneuli vs Chiatura
5:1
Jul 2, 2018 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Algeti Marneuli
4:0
Apr 24, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Chiatura vs Algeti Marneuli
2:1
Nov 12, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Algeti Marneuli vs Chiatura
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeti Marneuli 83 / 100
Chiatura 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeti Marneuli Chiatura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Algeti Marneuli's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chiatura's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Algeti Marneuli has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Algeti Marneuli VS Chiatura
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
4 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeti Marneuli

(Home)
19 Jul
Algeti Marneuli
0 : 8
Shturmi
20 Jun
Algeti Marneuli
3 : 0
Orbi
06 Dec
Betlemi Keda
2 : 3
Algeti Marneuli
29 Nov
Algeti Marneuli
5 : 1
Chiatura
22 Nov
Khoni
1 : 4
Algeti Marneuli
Page 1 of 6

Chiatura

(Away)
02 Dec
Guria
2 : 1
Chiatura
25 Nov
Chiatura
0 : 0
Spaeri
18 Nov
Dusheti
3 : 0
Chiatura
11 Nov
Chiatura
1 : 1
Gori
04 Nov
Kolkheti 1913
5 : 0
Chiatura
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Zugdidi 38 27 3 8 65:31 84
2 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 38 25 7 6 78:40 79
3 Guria 38 21 10 7 59:31 73
4 Iberia 1999 2 38 21 4 13 60:50 67
5 FC Kolkheti Khobi 38 17 10 11 54:35 61
6 Borjomi 38 18 7 13 66:56 61
7 Dusheti 38 19 4 15 64:55 61
8 Meshakhte Tkibuli 38 17 6 15 59:54 57
9 Gori 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Betlemi Keda 38 14 9 15 52:58 51
11 Samegrelo 38 13 9 16 63:55 48
12 FC Tbilisi 2025 38 13 8 17 58:58 47
13 Chiatura 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
14 Mark Stars Tbilisi 38 13 7 18 59:65 46
15 Algeti Marneuli 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
16 Khoni 38 12 9 17 44:52 45
17 FC Gardabani 38 11 6 21 39:63 39
18 Sulori Vani 38 10 6 22 38:77 36
19 Samgurali II 38 8 7 23 40:82 31
20 Matchakhela 38 5 13 20 35:63 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)