Sport Picks
Algeti Marneuli vs Merani Tbilisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Georgia
Liga 3 2017 
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 2017 game between Algeti Marneuli and Merani Tbilisi finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Algeti Marneuli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
15%
44%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merani Tbilisi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Merani Tbilisi come out ahead of Algeti Marneuli on wins alone.
- Model gives Merani Tbilisi a 44% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Algeti Marneuli Clean Sheet 19%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Algeti Marneuli | Merani Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 33 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2017 Liga 3
Algeti Marneuli vs Merani Tbilisi
3:1
Apr 11, 2017 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Algeti Marneuli
6:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Algeti Marneuli 20 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Algeti Marneuli Merani Tbilisi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.
Algeti Marneuli's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
Defensive concern: Merani Tbilisi conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.
Algeti Marneuli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Merani Tbilisi
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Algeti Marneuli
(Home) 19 Jul
Algeti Marneuli
0 : 8 Shturmi
20 Jun
Algeti Marneuli
3 : 0 Orbi
06 Dec
Betlemi Keda
2 : 3 Algeti Marneuli
29 Nov
Algeti Marneuli
5 : 1 Chiatura
22 Nov
Khoni
1 : 4 Algeti Marneuli
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19 Jul
Algeti Marneuli
0 : 8 Shturmi
20 Jun
Algeti Marneuli
3 : 0 Orbi
29 Nov
Algeti Marneuli
5 : 1 Chiatura
12 Nov
Algeti Marneuli
3 : 3 Mark Stars Tbilisi
31 Oct
Algeti Marneuli
1 : 4 FC Zugdidi
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Merani Tbilisi
(Away) 17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1 Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1 FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1 Merani Tbilisi
14 Jun
WIT Georgia
0 : 1 Merani Tbilisi
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shevardeni Tbilisi | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 36:19 | 37 |
| 2 | Telavi | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 30:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Merani Tbilisi | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 39:24 | 33 |
| 4 | Mark Stars Tbilisi | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 31:29 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Gardabani | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 23 |
| 6 | Gori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 23 |
| 7 | Algeti Marneuli | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25:27 | 23 |
| 8 | Borjomi | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | 22 |
| 9 | Chkherimela | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 10 | Liakhvi Tskhinvali | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 17:47 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiatura | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 32:14 | 40 |
| 2 | Khoni | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 20:10 | 33 |
| 3 | FC Kolkheti Khobi | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Betlemi Keda | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 34:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Samegrelo | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 20:14 | 27 |
| 6 | Sulori Vani | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 20:19 | 24 |
| 7 | Margveti 2006 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:28 | 21 |
| 8 | Skuri Tsalenjikha | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16:27 | 17 |
| 9 | Odishi 1919 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Sapovnela Terjola | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 7:31 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)
