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Alghero vs Mezzocorona

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Serie C2/A 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie C2/A 2009/2010 game between Alghero and Mezzocorona finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alghero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alghero
15%
Draws
0%
Mezzocorona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alghero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Alghero carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alghero a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C2/A 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Alghero Clean Sheet 10%
Mezzocorona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alghero Mezzocorona
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 3
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.07 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 2.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2010 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Mezzocorona
2:0
Oct 4, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Mezzocorona vs Alghero
0:3
Jan 11, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Mezzocorona
2:2
Aug 31, 2008 Lega Pro C2/A
Mezzocorona vs Alghero
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alghero 83 / 100
Mezzocorona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alghero Mezzocorona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alghero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mezzocorona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Away concern: Mezzocorona has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Alghero found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Alghero VS Mezzocorona
0.67 Goals Scored 1.13
4.33 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alghero

(Home)
11 Aug
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Alghero
31 Jul
Sassari Torres
7 : 0
Alghero
13 Aug
Sassari Torres
2 : 0
Alghero
09 May
Alghero
3 : 0
Pro Belvedere V.
02 May
Spezia
2 : 0
Alghero
Page 1 of 6

Mezzocorona

(Away)
10 May
Mezzocorona
0 : 6
Tamai
03 May
Mori
4 : 0
Mezzocorona
26 Apr
Mezzocorona
0 : 5
Union Pro
19 Apr
Union Feltre
4 : 0
Mezzocorona
12 Apr
Mezzocorona
0 : 5
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudtirol 34 18 9 7 33:23 63
2 Spezia 34 16 12 6 47:27 60
3 Legnano 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
4 Alghero 34 15 12 7 43:25 57
5 FeralpiSalo 34 14 15 5 41:32 57
6 Pavia 34 15 12 7 49:32 57
7 Rodengo Saiano 34 12 14 8 40:32 50
8 Crociati 34 9 15 10 36:37 42
9 Olbia 34 8 18 8 32:27 42
10 Sambonifacese 34 10 12 12 44:46 42
11 Valenzana 34 9 14 11 24:29 41
12 Pro Vercelli 34 11 8 15 31:37 41
13 Canavese 34 9 13 12 31:39 40
14 Mezzocorona 34 11 6 17 42:46 39
15 Villacidrese 34 10 9 15 38:43 39
16 Carpenedolo 34 9 8 17 34:50 35
17 Pro Belvedere V. 34 5 13 16 15:39 28
18 Pro Sesto 34 5 7 22 24:58 22
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie C1/A 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)