Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Serie C2/A 2009/2010 game between Alghero and Villacidrese finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alghero.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villacidrese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Villacidrese's 1.22 goals per match outpaces what Alghero have produced (1.07).
- Win probability leans Villacidrese's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Serie C2/A 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Alghero Clean Sheet 10%
Villacidrese Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alghero | Villacidrese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.27 | 2.42 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2010 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Villacidrese
3:2
Nov 1, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Villacidrese vs Alghero
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alghero 18 / 100
Villacidrese 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alghero Villacidrese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villacidrese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alghero scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Villacidrese conceded in 75% of 36 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Alghero has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alghero VS Villacidrese
0.67 Goals Scored 0.5
4.33 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Alghero
(Home) 11 Aug
Latte Dolce
4 : 2 Alghero
31 Jul
Sassari Torres
7 : 0 Alghero
13 Aug
Sassari Torres
2 : 0 Alghero
09 May
Alghero
3 : 0 Pro Belvedere V.
02 May
Spezia
2 : 0 Alghero
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09 May
Alghero
3 : 0 Pro Belvedere V.
25 Apr
Alghero
3 : 3 Canavese
11 Apr
Alghero
1 : 1 Pavia
28 Mar
Alghero
3 : 2 Villacidrese
07 Mar
Alghero
1 : 0 Pro Vercelli
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Villacidrese
(Away) 08 May
Giulianova
3 : 3 Villacidrese
01 May
Villacidrese
1 : 4 Prato
23 Apr
Sangiovannese
0 : 0 Villacidrese
17 Apr
Villacidrese
1 : 1 Bellaria Igea
10 Apr
Crociati
1 : 2 Villacidrese
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08 May
Giulianova
3 : 3 Villacidrese
23 Apr
Sangiovannese
0 : 0 Villacidrese
10 Apr
Crociati
1 : 2 Villacidrese
03 Apr
Poggibonsi
2 : 1 Villacidrese
13 Mar
Follonica Gavorrano
3 : 1 Villacidrese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sudtirol | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 33:23 | 63 |
| 2 | Spezia | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 47:27 | 60 |
| 3 | Legnano | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 49:31 | 59 |
| 4 | Alghero | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 43:25 | 57 |
| 5 | FeralpiSalo | 34 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 41:32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pavia | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 49:32 | 57 |
| 7 | Rodengo Saiano | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 40:32 | 50 |
| 8 | Crociati | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 36:37 | 42 |
| 9 | Olbia | 34 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 32:27 | 42 |
| 10 | Sambonifacese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:46 | 42 |
| 11 | Valenzana | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 24:29 | 41 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Canavese | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:39 | 40 |
| 14 | Mezzocorona | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42:46 | 39 |
| 15 | Villacidrese | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:43 | 39 |
| 16 | Carpenedolo | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 34:50 | 35 |
| 17 | Pro Belvedere V. | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 15:39 | 28 |
| 18 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 24:58 | 22 |
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie C1/A 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
