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Alhaurin vs Huetor Tajar

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022 game between Alhaurin and Huetor Tajar finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alhaurin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Alhaurin
15%
Draws
39%
Huetor Tajar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alhaurin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Huetor Tajar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Alhaurin Clean Sheet 24%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alhaurin Huetor Tajar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Alhaurin
4:1
Dec 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Huetor Tajar
2:0
May 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Huetor Tajar
0:3
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Alhaurin
0:2
May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Huetor Tajar
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alhaurin 33 / 100
Huetor Tajar 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alhaurin Huetor Tajar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Tajar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huetor Tajar has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Attacking prowess: Alhaurin scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Alhaurin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Huetor Tajar
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alhaurin

(Home)
24 Apr
Marbella
5 : 0
Alhaurin
17 Apr
Alhaurin
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
09 Apr
Huetor Tajar
4 : 1
Alhaurin
03 Apr
Alhaurin
0 : 0
Torremolinos
27 Mar
Atletico de Porcuna
0 : 1
Alhaurin
Page 1 of 6

Huetor Tajar

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1
Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 32 17 12 3 45:21 63
2 Huetor Tajar 32 16 10 6 56:30 58
3 Marbella 32 18 4 10 53:26 58
4 Almeria B 32 16 9 7 59:31 57
5 Malaga B 32 17 6 9 51:38 57
6 Motril 32 17 5 10 59:37 56
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 32 14 13 5 55:35 55
8 Torre del Mar 32 14 7 11 52:40 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 32 11 9 12 42:47 42
10 El Palo 32 11 8 13 40:40 41
11 Huetor Vega 32 9 12 11 33:38 39
12 CD Torreperogil 32 10 8 14 28:36 38
13 Jaen 32 9 12 11 31:43 36
14 Alhaurin 32 9 7 16 28:49 34
15 UD San Pedro 32 7 7 18 26:48 28
16 CD Alhaurino 32 6 9 17 40:53 27
17 Intergym Melilla 32 0 4 28 13:99 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022 (Play Offs)