Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022

Huetor Tajar

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alhaurin play Huetor Tajar in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alhaurin averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Huetor Tajar averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, Alhaurin won 2, Huetor Tajar won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 9, 2022 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Alhaurin and 0.93 for Huetor Tajar. This points to a Huetor Tajar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Alhaurin

23%

Draws

41%

Huetor Tajar

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Huetor Tajar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Alhaurin picked up more points recently compared to Huetor Tajar.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Alhaurin Clean Sheet 24%

Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alhaurin	Huetor Tajar
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	8	10
Draws	6	9
Losses	16	13
Goals Scored	0.87	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.6	1.22

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Huetor Tajar vs Alhaurin

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

4:1

Dec 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Alhaurin vs Huetor Tajar

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

May 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Alhaurin vs Huetor Tajar

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

0:3

Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Huetor Tajar vs Alhaurin

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Alhaurin vs Huetor Tajar

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alhaurin 37 / 100

Huetor Tajar 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alhaurin Huetor Tajar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Huetor Tajar or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alhaurin attacking → ← attacking Huetor Tajar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alhaurin scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Huetor Tajar let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Alhaurin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Huetor Tajar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 39

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Torremolinos	32	17	12	3	45:21	63
2	Huetor Tajar	32	16	10	6	56:30	58
3	Marbella	32	18	4	10	53:26	58
4	Almeria B	32	16	9	7	59:31	57
5	Malaga B	32	17	6	9	51:38	57
6	Motril	32	17	5	10	59:37	56
7	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	32	14	13	5	55:35	55
8	Torre del Mar	32	14	7	11	52:40	49
9	Atletico de Porcuna	32	11	9	12	42:47	42
10	El Palo	32	11	8	13	40:40	41
11	Huetor Vega	32	9	12	11	33:38	39
12	CD Torreperogil	32	10	8	14	28:36	38
13	Jaen	32	9	12	11	31:43	36
14	Alhaurin	32	9	7	16	28:49	34
15	UD San Pedro	32	7	7	18	26:48	28
16	CD Alhaurino	32	6	9	17	40:53	27
17	Intergym Melilla	32	0	4	28	13:99	4