Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 game between Alhaurin and Melilla CD finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melilla CD.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alhaurin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Alhaurin come out ahead of Melilla CD on wins alone.
- Alhaurin are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Alhaurin Clean Sheet 20%
Melilla CD Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alhaurin | Melilla CD |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.27 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Melilla CD
3:4
Nov 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Alhaurin
1:3
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Alhaurin
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Melilla CD
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alhaurin 85 / 100
Melilla CD 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alhaurin Melilla CD
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alhaurin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Difficult form: Melilla CD registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Alhaurin found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).
Melilla CD let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Alhaurin VS Melilla CD
0.88 Goals Scored 0.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Alhaurin
(Home) 24 Apr
Marbella
5 : 0 Alhaurin
17 Apr
Alhaurin
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
09 Apr
Huetor Tajar
4 : 1 Alhaurin
03 Apr
Alhaurin
0 : 0 Torremolinos
27 Mar
Atletico de Porcuna
0 : 1 Alhaurin
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17 Apr
Alhaurin
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
03 Apr
Alhaurin
0 : 0 Torremolinos
20 Mar
Alhaurin
2 : 1 Torre del Mar
06 Mar
Alhaurin
0 : 0 Jaen
20 Feb
Alhaurin
2 : 0 UD San Pedro
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Melilla CD
(Away) 09 Oct
Chiclana
4 : 0 Melilla CD
12 Oct
Melilla CD
1 : 3 Deportivo Murcia
19 Oct
CD Algar
4 : 1 Melilla CD
06 Jun
Melilla CD
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
29 May
Maracena
5 : 2 Melilla CD
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Chiclana
4 : 0 Melilla CD
19 Oct
CD Algar
4 : 1 Melilla CD
29 May
Maracena
5 : 2 Melilla CD
16 May
CP Almeria
1 : 0 Melilla CD
02 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 2 Melilla CD
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mancha | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 35:12 | 36 |
| 2 | Almeria B | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:25 | 33 |
| 3 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 35:25 | 33 |
| 4 | CD Torreperogil | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 16:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Huetor Tajar | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 28:25 | 28 |
| 6 | Huetor Vega | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 25:27 | 25 |
| 7 | Jaen | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24:27 | 25 |
| 8 | CP Almeria | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 15:25 | 23 |
| 9 | Loja | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 15:32 | 21 |
| 10 | Atletico de Porcuna | 20 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 22:23 | 21 |
| 11 | Maracena | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19:28 | 20 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | 37 |
| 2 | Antequera | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 29:11 | 30 |
| 3 | El Palo | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 18:17 | 28 |
| 4 | Torremolinos | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:18 | 28 |
| 5 | Malaga B | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 28 |
| 6 | CD Estepona | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18:25 | 20 |
| 7 | Alhaurin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 17:27 | 20 |
| 8 | Motril | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 21:26 | 20 |
| 9 | Melilla CD | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 10 | CD Alhaurino | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22:28 | 17 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
