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Ali CSC vs Al Riffa

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Vargas dos Santos V.
57' Event
Al Shaikh J.
73' Event
Al Eker H.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Ali CSC and Al Riffa finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Riffa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Ali CSC
20%
Draws
61%
Al Riffa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Riffa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Riffa come out ahead of Ali CSC on wins alone.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Al Riffa taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Riffa have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ali CSC Clean Sheet 13%
Al Riffa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ali CSC Al Riffa
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 24
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.13 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Ali CSC vs Al Riffa
2:4
Nov 23, 2024 Premier League
Al Riffa vs Ali CSC
3:0
Dec 7, 2023 King's Cup
Al Riffa vs Ali CSC
5:0
Mar 20, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Ali CSC vs Al Riffa
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ali CSC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sheikh-Eldin A. H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Silva R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Al Riffa Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas dos Santos V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Shaikh J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ali CSC 10 / 100
Al Riffa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ali CSC Al Riffa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Riffa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Ali CSC's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Riffa has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.

Ali CSC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Riffa
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ali CSC

(Home)
09 Jun
Al Hala
1 : 2
Ali CSC
04 Jun
Ali CSC
0 : 1
Bahrain SC
31 May
Ali CSC
0 : 0
Isa Town
26 May
Ali CSC
0 : 2
Al Muharraq
22 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 0
Ali CSC
Page 1 of 6

Al Riffa

(Away)
10 Sept
Al Riffa
0 : 0
Al Khalidiyah
05 Sept
Manama Club
1 : 5
Al Riffa
29 Aug
Al Riffa
2 : 0
Al Ittifaq
15 May
Al Riffa
3 : 2
Bahrain SC
11 May
Malkia
0 : 2
Al Riffa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Muharraq 22 16 3 3 54:17 51
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 13 3 6 40:26 42
3 Sitra 22 10 8 4 33:21 38
4 Al Riffa 22 11 5 6 39:27 38
5 Al Shabbab 22 7 9 6 23:23 30
6 Malkia 22 6 10 6 23:27 28
7 Al Ahli 22 8 3 11 32:35 27
8 Al Najma 22 7 6 9 29:29 27
9 Bahrain SC 22 6 5 11 27:41 23
10 Ali CSC 22 6 5 11 26:37 23
11 East Riffa 22 4 8 10 21:31 20
12 Manama Club 22 2 7 13 15:48 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)