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Aliados Lordelo vs Oliveirense

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2012/2013
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
88' Event

AI Match Summary

Oliveirense in this Taça de Portugal 2012/2013 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aliados Lordelo
15%
Draws
51%
Oliveirense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oliveirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aliados Lordelo have won more games recently than Oliveirense.
  • Win probability leans Oliveirense's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Aliados Lordelo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Oliveirense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aliados Lordelo Clean Sheet 20%
Oliveirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aliados Lordelo Oliveirense
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.26 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2012 Taça de Portugal
Aliados Lordelo vs Oliveirense
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliados Lordelo 20 / 100
Oliveirense 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aliados Lordelo Oliveirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oliveirense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliados Lordelo found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Oliveirense has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Aliados Lordelo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Oliveirense
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aliados Lordelo

(Home)
10 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
1 : 3
SC Vianense
21 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
Aliados Lordelo
01 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
3 : 2
Manteigas
21 Oct
Aliados Lordelo
0 : 2
Oliveirense
16 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
2 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 7

Oliveirense

(Away)
19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2
Penafiel
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1
Mafra
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1
Oliveirense
29 Aug
Oliveirense
4 : 0
Penalva do Castelo
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2
Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
FC Felgueiras 1
Vilaverdense FC 2
Tondela 5
Lagoa 0
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Aguiar da Beira 3
Vila Mea 2
SC Barreiro 2
Uniao Lamas 3
AD Oliveirense 1
Alcanenense 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
FC Porto -
TBD -
Amarante FC 0
Santa Eulalia 3
SC Espinho 3
AA Avanca 0
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Pampilhosa 1
GD Sourense 0
Cinfaes 0
Covilha 4
Leixoes 4
Leca 1
TBD -
Braga -
Arouca 1
Trofense 0
Atletico CP 0
Naval 2
Portimonense 2
Academico Viseu 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
SC Farense 3
CDR Quarteirense 2
Grijo 0
Atletico SC 1
Penafiel 1
Casa Pia 0
TBD -
Beira Mar -
Fabril do Barreiro 2
Paredes 1
Desportivo Moncao 0
Electrico FC 1
Ribeirao 6
Uniao Montemor 0
Oeiras 1
Oliveira Hospital 4
Pedras Rubras 4
Maritimo Graciosa 0
SB Castelo Branco 1
U. Madeira 3
Anadia 3
Vitoria FC Pico 0
Vizela 0
BSAD 4
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
1º Dezembro 1
Pero Pinheiro 0
TBD -
Olhanense -
Feirense 2
Padroense 0
C.F. Benfica 1
AD Fafe 2
Pinhalnovense 2
Santa Maria FC 1
Louletano 1
SC Lourinhanense 2
Oliveirense 2
Sintrense 1
Sertanense 1
Aliados Lordelo 2
Sacavenense 1
Sampedrense 0
CD Ribeira Brava 0
Leiria 1
SC Mirandela 1
SL Cartaxo 0
Bustelo 0
Varzim 3
Gondomar 1
SC Praiense 0
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Academica -
TBD -
Melgacense 1
Ponte da Barca 2
Fatima 4
SC Pombal 1
GD Peniche 0
Penalva do Castelo 1
Santa Clara 3
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0
Tocha 1
Nogueirense 2
AD Limianos 4
Amora 0
Oriental 0
GD Tourizense 1
Aves 2
Estarreja 0
Chaves 0
Tirsense 2
Caldas SC 3
Operario 0
Sousense 0
Coimbroes 2
Moreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Freamunde 1
SC Salgueiros 0
TBD -
Benfica -
1/32-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 6
Vilaverdense FC 1
Tondela 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Aguiar da Beira 1
Uniao Lamas 0
AD Oliveirense 1
Maritimo 2
FC Porto 1
Santa Eulalia 0
SC Espinho 0
Nacional 4
FC Pampilhosa 6
Covilha 5
Leixoes 0
Braga 3
Arouca 3
Naval 1
Portimonense 1
Rio Ave 2
SC Farense 1
Atletico SC 0
Penafiel 0
Beira Mar 1
Fabril do Barreiro 3
Electrico FC 1
Ribeirao 1
Oliveira Hospital 2
Pedras Rubras 3
U. Madeira 2
Anadia 2
BSAD 5
Pacos Ferreira 2
Estoril 1
1º Dezembro 0
Olhanense 3
Feirense 3
AD Fafe 0
Pinhalnovense 0
SC Lourinhanense 3
Oliveirense 2
Aliados Lordelo 0
Sacavenense 2
Leiria 3
SC Mirandela 2
Varzim 1
Gondomar 0
Gil Vicente 2
Academica 3
Ponte da Barca 1
Fatima 0
Penalva do Castelo 1
Santa Clara 3
Nogueirense 1
AD Limianos 0
GD Tourizense 1
Aves 3
Tirsense 1
Caldas SC 0
Coimbroes 1
Moreirense 3
Sporting CP 2
Freamunde 0
Benfica 4
1/16-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Aguiar da Beira 0
Maritimo 3
FC Porto 3
Nacional 0
FC Pampilhosa 1
Braga 3
Arouca 2
Rio Ave 1
SC Farense 1
Beira Mar 2
Fabril do Barreiro 2
Oliveira Hospital 0
Pedras Rubras 0
BSAD 3
Pacos Ferreira 2
Olhanense 1
Feirense 2
SC Lourinhanense 3
Oliveirense 1
Leiria 0
SC Mirandela 1
Gil Vicente 2
Academica 1
Penalva do Castelo 0
Santa Clara 0
GD Tourizense 1
Aves 2
Coimbroes 1
Moreirense 0
Benfica 2
1/8-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Maritimo 1
FC Porto 1
Braga 2
Arouca 2
Beira Mar 1
Fabril do Barreiro 0
BSAD 4
Pacos Ferreira 6
SC Lourinhanense 0
Oliveirense 0
Gil Vicente 1
Academica 3
GD Tourizense 0
Aves 0
Benfica 6
Quarter-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Braga 1
Arouca 1
BSAD 4
Pacos Ferreira 2
Gil Vicente 1
Academica 0
Benfica 4
Semi-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
BSAD 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Benfica 3
Final
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Benfica 1