Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2023/2024

SC Vianense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aliados Lordelo play SC Vianense in the Taça de Portugal 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aliados Lordelo averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. SC Vianense averaged 2 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Aliados Lordelo won 0, SC Vianense won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 10, 2023 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Aliados Lordelo and 1.36 for SC Vianense. This points to a SC Vianense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Aliados Lordelo

15%

Draws

55%

SC Vianense

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Vianense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Aliados Lordelo picked up more points recently compared to SC Vianense.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.36 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Aliados Lordelo Clean Sheet 18%

SC Vianense Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aliados Lordelo	SC Vianense
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	11	18
Draws	4	5
Losses	15	8
Goals Scored	1.27	2
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.19

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2023 Taça de Portugal

Aliados Lordelo vs SC Vianense

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliados Lordelo 31 / 100

SC Vianense 52 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aliados Lordelo SC Vianense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Vianense Win (2)

Secondary Pick SC Vianense & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aliados Lordelo attacking → ← attacking SC Vianense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliados Lordelo scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

SC Vianense let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Aliados Lordelo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

SC Vianense lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 59

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38