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Aliaga vs Arnavutkoy Bl.

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Sarikaya M.
Assist: Babaoglu T.
17' Event
Suleyman B.
(Penalty)
38' Event
Babaoglu T.

AI Match Summary

Aliaga in this 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aliaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Aliaga
20%
Draws
56%
Arnavutkoy Bl.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arnavutkoy Bl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Aliaga have won more games recently than Arnavutkoy Bl..
  • Model gives Arnavutkoy Bl. a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 19%
Arnavutkoy Bl. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aliaga Arnavutkoy Bl.
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.42 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Aliaga vs Arnavutkoy Bl.
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Aliaga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aliaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarikaya M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Babaoglu T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Arnavutkoy Bl. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliaga 20 / 100
Arnavutkoy Bl. 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aliaga Arnavutkoy Bl.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnavutkoy Bl. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliaga's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Aliaga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Arnavutkoy Bl. has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aliaga VS Arnavutkoy Bl.
3 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aliaga

(Home)
04 May
Musspor
1 : 0
Aliaga
30 Apr
Aliaga
1 : 1
Musspor
25 Apr
Aliaga
0 : 5
Bursaspor
19 Apr
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1
Aliaga
12 Apr
Aliaga
5 : 0
Menemenspor
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Arnavutkoy Bl.

(Away)
25 Apr
Arnavutkoy Bl.
2 : 0
Isparta 32 Spor
18 Apr
Adanaspor AS
0 : 1
Arnavutkoy Bl.
12 Apr
Musspor
2 : 1
Arnavutkoy Bl.
05 Apr
Arnavutkoy Bl.
3 : 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
28 Mar
Trabzon FK
0 : 1
Arnavutkoy Bl.
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bursaspor 34 25 5 4 87:19 80
2 Mardin 1969 34 22 5 7 67:25 71
3 Musspor 34 21 7 6 82:35 70
4 Aliaga 34 21 6 7 81:32 69
5 K. Istklalspor 34 21 4 9 82:33 67
6 Isparta 32 Spor 34 18 9 7 70:36 63
7 Guzide Gebzespor 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
8 Menemenspor 34 15 6 13 57:51 51
9 Ankara Demirspor 34 14 7 13 47:47 49
10 Aksaray Bld. 34 11 14 9 52:38 47
11 Trabzon FK 34 13 8 13 54:51 47
12 Arnavutkoy Bl. 34 13 7 14 40:36 46
13 Fethiyespor 34 11 11 12 52:41 44
14 Kirklarelispor 34 9 9 16 44:49 36
15 Soma Spor 34 8 6 20 41:68 30
16 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 33 4 3 26 22:97 12
17 Adanaspor AS 33 2 1 30 14:159 1
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 34 0 2 32 8:114 -52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)