Sport Picks
Aliaga vs Genclerbirligi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
Turkish Cup 2025/2026 Aliaga Ataturk Stadyumu, Izmir 
Match Events
34'
34'
Sub
Kartal E. In: Kavaklidere H.
Out: Kartal E.
46'
46'
Sub
Dursun A. In: Aydar H.
Out: Dursun A.
46'
46'
Sub
Kemaloglu E. In: Gurpuz G.
Out: Kemaloglu E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Genclerbirligi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
15%
7%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliaga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Aliaga carry the better recent record into this one.
- Aliaga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Aliaga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Genclerbirligi, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 17%
Genclerbirligi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aliaga | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 5, 2026 Turkish Cup
Aliaga vs Genclerbirligi
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aliaga Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaya S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Genclerbirligi Compare
Top Goalscorer Aydar H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Onur S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aliaga 84 / 100
Genclerbirligi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aliaga Genclerbirligi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aliaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Aliaga scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.
Genclerbirligi has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Aliaga has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Aliaga VS Genclerbirligi
1.71 Goals Scored 1.38
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Aliaga
(Home) 03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4 Aliaga
27 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 1 Sanliurfaspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0 Aliaga
13 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 0 Isparta 32 Spor
06 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
1 : 4 Aliaga
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 1 Sanliurfaspor
13 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 0 Isparta 32 Spor
30 Apr
Aliaga
1 : 1 Musspor
25 Apr
Aliaga
0 : 5 Bursaspor
12 Apr
Aliaga
5 : 0 Menemenspor
Page 1 of 4
Genclerbirligi
(Away) 03 Oct
Genclerbirligi
0 : 1 Keciorengucu
19 Sept
Basaksehir
4 : 0 Genclerbirligi
13 Sept
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2 Kasimpasa
06 Sept
Trabzonspor
5 : 0 Genclerbirligi
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Basaksehir
4 : 0 Genclerbirligi
06 Sept
Trabzonspor
5 : 0 Genclerbirligi
23 Aug
Goztepe
0 : 1 Genclerbirligi
24 Jul
Kasimpasa
3 : 0 Genclerbirligi
17 May
Trabzonspor
0 : 3 Genclerbirligi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 5 | F. Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 12 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 7 | Aliaga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:16 | 1 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor FK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
