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Aliaga vs Menemenspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Babaoglu T.
Assist: Kavaklidere H.
45' Event
Babaoglu T.
Assist: Suleyman B.
54' Event
Babaoglu T.
Assist: Acikgoz M.

AI Match Summary

Aliaga in this 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aliaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Aliaga
15%
Draws
36%
Menemenspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Menemenspor haven't matched Aliaga's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Aliaga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 68%
Menemenspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aliaga Menemenspor
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.94 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Aliaga vs Menemenspor
5:0
Dec 12, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Menemenspor vs Aliaga
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aliaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Babaoglu T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Karaahmet M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Menemenspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliaga 59 / 100
Menemenspor 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aliaga Menemenspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Aliaga scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Menemenspor has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Aliaga remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aliaga VS Menemenspor
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aliaga

(Home)
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 1
Sanliurfaspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0
Aliaga
13 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 0
Isparta 32 Spor
06 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
1 : 4
Aliaga
Page 1 of 7

Menemenspor

(Away)
03 Oct
Menemenspor
2 : 0
Adanademirspor
27 Sept
Sebat Spor Kulubu
0 : 1
Menemenspor
19 Sept
Menemenspor
3 : 0
Ankaraspor
13 Sept
Musspor
4 : 0
Menemenspor
06 Sept
Menemenspor
1 : 3
Inegol Kafkas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bursaspor 34 25 5 4 87:19 80
2 Mardin 1969 34 22 5 7 67:25 71
3 Musspor 34 21 7 6 82:35 70
4 Aliaga 34 21 6 7 81:32 69
5 K. Istklalspor 34 21 4 9 82:33 67
6 Isparta 32 Spor 34 18 9 7 70:36 63
7 Guzide Gebzespor 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
8 Menemenspor 34 15 6 13 57:51 51
9 Ankara Demirspor 34 14 7 13 47:47 49
10 Aksaray Bld. 34 11 14 9 52:38 47
11 Trabzon FK 34 13 8 13 54:51 47
12 Arnavutkoy Bl. 34 13 7 14 40:36 46
13 Fethiyespor 34 11 11 12 52:41 44
14 Kirklarelispor 34 9 9 16 44:49 36
15 Soma Spor 34 8 6 20 41:68 30
16 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 33 4 3 26 22:97 12
17 Adanaspor AS 33 2 1 30 14:159 1
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 34 0 2 32 8:114 -52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)