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Alianca Futebol Clube U20 vs Esporte Limoeiro U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 play Esporte Limoeiro U20 in the Cearense U20 2025. Alianca Futebol Clube U20 are favorites here. Recently, Alianca Futebol Clube U20 averaged 1.08 goals scored and 2.12 conceded. Esporte Limoeiro U20 averaged 0.5 goals scored and 3.17 conceded. In past meetings, Alianca Futebol Clube U20 won 1, Esporte Limoeiro U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 9, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.04 for Alianca Futebol Clube U20 and 1.53 for Esporte Limoeiro U20. This points to a Alianca Futebol Clube U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
19%
Draws
18%
Esporte Limoeiro U20
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Alianca Futebol Clube U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Alianca Futebol Clube U20 picked up more points recently compared to Esporte Limoeiro U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.04 vs 1.53 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Esporte Limoeiro U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Esporte Limoeiro U20
Matches Played 25 6
Wins 5 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.08 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.12 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Cearense U20
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 vs Esporte Limoeiro U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hudson A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alyff
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Esporte Limoeiro U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caua Ferreira Demascena F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopes da Silva M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.24

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 60 / 100
Esporte Limoeiro U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Esporte Limoeiro U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Alianca Futebol Clube U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 attacking → ← attacking Esporte Limoeiro U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 scored in 60% of their last 25 games.

Esporte Limoeiro U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Esporte Limoeiro U20 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 0
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.43
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.71

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ceara U20861127:619
2Floresta EC U20851216:216
3Caucaia U20841310:1013
4Ferroviario U20733113:512
5Horizonte U20832311:911
6Anjos do Ceu U2083059:249
7Alianca Futebol Clube U2082159:197
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fortaleza U20761021:219
2Quixada U2074128:913
3Tirol U20733111:512
4Atletico Cearense U20732210:811
5Pacatuba U20730411:149
6Itapipoca U2071246:105
7Itarema U2070075:280
8Esporte Limoeiro U2060063:190