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Alianca Futebol Clube U20 vs Itarema U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Alyff
60' Event
Francisco Queiroz
90' Event
Domingues de Freitas J.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense U20 2025 game between Alianca Futebol Clube U20 and Itarema U20 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianca Futebol Clube U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
15%
Draws
0%
Itarema U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianca Futebol Clube U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianca Futebol Clube U20 come out ahead of Itarema U20 on wins alone.
  • Alianca Futebol Clube U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Itarema U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Itarema U20
Matches Played 26 13
Wins 6 1
Draws 6 1
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.15 0.62
Goals Conceded 2.12 2.92
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Cearense U20
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 vs Itarema U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alyff
1 Goals
Assists Leader Francisco Queiroz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Itarema U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Domingues de Freitas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 84 / 100
Itarema U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Itarema U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itarema U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 13 matches.

Difficult form: Itarema U20 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Alianca Futebol Clube U20 scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 VS Itarema U20
1.13 Goals Scored 0.83
2.38 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianca Futebol Clube U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
3 : 2
Vila Real U20
08 Jul
Anjos do Ceu U20
4 : 3
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
03 Jul
Tirol U20
5 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
20 Jun
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
3 : 0
Tiangua EC U20
06 Jun
Caucaia U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
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Itarema U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Itarema U20
1 : 6
Horizonte U20
23 Aug
Itarema U20
0 : 7
Ferroviario U20
30 Jul
Ceara U20
5 : 1
Itarema U20
12 Jul
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
2 : 1
Itarema U20
28 Jun
Itarema U20
1 : 2
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 8 6 1 1 27:6 19
2 Floresta EC U20 8 5 1 2 16:2 16
3 Caucaia U20 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
4 Ferroviario U20 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
5 Horizonte U20 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
6 Anjos do Ceu U20 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
7 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 8 2 1 5 9:19 7
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 7 6 1 0 21:2 19
2 Quixada U20 7 4 1 2 8:9 13
3 Tirol U20 7 3 3 1 11:5 12
4 Atletico Cearense U20 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
5 Pacatuba U20 7 3 0 4 11:14 9
6 Itapipoca U20 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
7 Itarema U20 7 0 0 7 5:28 0
8 Esporte Limoeiro U20 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)