Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Alianca at 1.38 goals for, 1.5 against; Cruzeiro Arapiraca at 1.14 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor Cruzeiro Arapiraca slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 11, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.94 - 0.88) back Cruzeiro Arapiraca to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Cruzeiro Arapiraca lately — more wins on the board than Alianca.
- Alianca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Cruzeiro Arapiraca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Cruzeiro Arapiraca, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Cruzeiro Arapiraca have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianca | Cruzeiro Arapiraca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Cruzeiro Arapiraca conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Alianca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Alianca scored in 54% of their last 26 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Alianca
(Home)Cruzeiro Arapiraca
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSA | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 9 |
| 2 | CRB | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Coruripe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro Arapiraca | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Dimensao Capela | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 1 |
| 6 | Alianca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASA | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Zumbi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 4 | Murici | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 5 | SC Penedense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 6 | Miguelense | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:18 | 0 |