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Alianca vs Jacioba

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2
Alianca Logo

Alianca

9 - 0
FT
Jacioba Logo

Jacioba

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Lucas Santana
26' Event
Lucas Santana
(Penalty)
37' Event
dos Santos G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano 2 game between Alianca and Jacioba finished 9-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Alianca
20%
Draws
10%
Jacioba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alianca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Jacioba haven't matched Alianca's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Alianca a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Alagoano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Alianca have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Alianca Clean Sheet 20%
Jacioba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianca Jacioba
Matches Played 26 21
Wins 7 2
Draws 3 1
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.38 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.02 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Jacioba
9:0
Sep 13, 2025 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Jacioba
5:0
Sep 26, 2024 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Jacioba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianca Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Santana
2 Goals
Assists Leader de Oliveira A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 1.01

Jacioba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianca 85 / 100
Jacioba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianca Jacioba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacioba let in goals in 90% of their last 21 matches.

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Alianca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Jacioba registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianca VS Jacioba
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.29
38% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianca

(Home)
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Alianca
9 : 0
Jacioba
26 Apr
Sao Domingos AL
2 : 6
Alianca
22 Apr
Alianca
1 : 6
Sporting FC
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Jacioba

(Away)
02 May
Alianca
9 : 0
Jacioba
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Zumbi
2 : 0
Jacioba
19 Apr
Sao Domingos AL
0 : 0
Jacioba
11 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Sporting FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zumbi 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
2 Sporting FC 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
3 Miguelense 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
4 Alianca 5 2 1 2 18:11 7
5 Jacioba 5 0 1 4 0:13 1
6 Sao Domingos AL 5 0 1 4 2:16 1
Promotion - Alagoano 2 (Play Offs)