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Alianca vs Zumbi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2
Alianca Logo

Alianca

1 - 1
FT
Zumbi Logo

Zumbi

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lucas Santana
66' Event
da Silva F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano 2 game between Alianca and Zumbi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alianca
30%
Draws
37%
Zumbi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zumbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zumbi come out ahead of Alianca on wins alone.
  • Model gives Alianca a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Alagoano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Alianca Clean Sheet 15%
Zumbi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianca Zumbi
Matches Played 25 33
Wins 7 17
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Alianca
1:0
May 10, 2026 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Zumbi
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Zumbi
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Alianca
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Zumbi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianca Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Santana
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Zumbi Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianca 75 / 100
Zumbi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianca Zumbi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alianca found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (25 games).

Defensive concern: Zumbi conceded in 45% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Alianca VS Zumbi
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianca

(Home)
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Alianca
9 : 0
Jacioba
26 Apr
Sao Domingos AL
2 : 6
Alianca
22 Apr
Alianca
1 : 6
Sporting FC
Page 1 of 5

Zumbi

(Away)
31 May
Sporting FC
2 : 2
Zumbi
24 May
Zumbi
0 : 2
Sporting FC
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zumbi 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
2 Sporting FC 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
3 Miguelense 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
4 Alianca 5 2 1 2 18:11 7
5 Jacioba 5 0 1 4 0:13 1
6 Sao Domingos AL 5 0 1 4 2:16 1
Promotion - Alagoano 2 (Play Offs)