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Aliance vs FK Limbazi

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Limbazi in this Latvian Cup 2022 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aliance
6%
Draws
4%
FK Limbazi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Limbazi have won more games recently than Aliance.
  • Win probability leans Aliance's way, sitting at 90%.
  • FK Limbazi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Limbazi, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Limbazi here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Aliance Clean Sheet 10%
FK Limbazi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aliance FK Limbazi
Matches Played 18 18
Wins 7 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 4.25 3.13
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 4.25 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Latvian Cup
Aliance vs FK Limbazi
20:0
May 21, 2022 Latvian Cup
Aliance vs FK Limbazi
1:4
Jul 17, 2021 Latvian Cup
FK Limbazi vs Aliance
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliance 83 / 100
FK Limbazi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aliance FK Limbazi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 9.67 goals.

Aliance scored in 72% of their last 18 games.

FK Limbazi has conceded goals in 76% of their last 17 outings.

Solid form: Aliance remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aliance VS FK Limbazi
4.25 Goals Scored 3.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aliance

(Home)
19 Jun
Marupe
4 : 2
Aliance
30 May
Valka
1 : 5
Aliance
31 May
Aliance
0 : 6
JFK Ventspils
17 May
Valka
1 : 9
Aliance
05 May
Talsi
1 : 5
Aliance
Page 1 of 4

FK Limbazi

(Away)
02 May
Valmiera
8 : 0
FK Limbazi
18 May
Aliance
20 : 0
FK Limbazi
11 Jun
Jekabpils SC
:
FK Limbazi
27 May
Plavinas
0 : 3
FK Limbazi
26 Jun
FK Limbazi
0 : 2
Jekabpils SC
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Riga FC-
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Valmiera-
FK Auda Riga-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
Kengaroos4
FK Varaklani2
TBD-
Gauja-
FK Alberts-
TBD-
TBD-
LSPA-
Beitar-
TBD-
TBD-
Bebri-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
DSVK Traktors4
Kadaga/Ostas3
TBD-
JFK Daugava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Alberts JDFS-
Saldus SS/Leevon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
JFC Viola2
Sports United/Cesis0
TBD-
Babites-
Valka-
TBD-
TBD-
Gulbenes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salaspils FK-
Upesciems-
TBD-
Dobele Allegro3
Bauskas BJSS0
Augsdaugavas2
Ogre United1
TBD-
Fk Jurnieks Riga-
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FK Metta-
Super Nova-
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Tukums 2000-
RFS-
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Spartaks Jurmala-
AFA Olaine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Sigulda3
FK Union2
TBD-
Marupe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Smiltene-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
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FK Liepaja-
Lielupe-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Madona Kvarcs-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rezekne-
Skanste-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plavinas-
TBD-
TBD-
Betsafe-
Priekuli-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga United-
Aliance-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Limbazi-
Jekabpils SC-
TBD-
TBD-
Kekava-Auda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Riga-
1/64-finals
Riga FC-
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Valmiera-
FK Auda Riga-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
Kengaroos2
Gauja1
FK Alberts1
LSPA4
Beitar4
Bebri1
TBD-
Jelgava-
DSVK Traktors2
JFK Daugava12
TBD-
Alberts JDFS-
Saldus SS/Leevon-
TBD-
JFC Viola4
Babites3
Valka0
Gulbenes2
TBD-
Salaspils FK-
Upesciems0
Dobele Allegro3
Augsdaugavas3
Fk Jurnieks Riga2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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FK Metta-
Super Nova-
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Tukums 2000-
RFS-
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Spartaks Jurmala-
AFA Olaine-
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Grobina-
Sigulda0
Marupe5
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FK Smiltene-
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FK Liepaja-
Lielupe2
FK Madona Kvarcs3
TBD-
Rezekne-
Skanste-
TBD-
Plavinas0
Betsafe1
Priekuli4
Riga United1
Aliance1
FK Limbazi4
Jekabpils SC4
Kekava-Auda2
TBD-
Dinamo Riga-
1/32-finals
Riga FC-
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Valmiera-
FK Auda Riga-
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BFC Daugavpils-
Kengaroos0
LSPA1
Beitar1
Jelgava8
JFK Daugava2
Alberts JDFS5
Saldus SS/Leevon3
JFC Viola0
Gulbenes0
Salaspils FK9
Dobele Allegro0
Augsdaugavas1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
Super Nova-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
AFA Olaine2
Grobina8
Marupe3
FK Smiltene4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
FK Madona Kvarcs0
Rezekne5
Skanste1
Betsafe0
Priekuli1
FK Limbazi4
Jekabpils SC2
Dinamo Riga1
1/16-finals
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
LSPA0
Jelgava11
Alberts JDFS4
Saldus SS/Leevon2
Salaspils FK2
Augsdaugavas0
TBD-
FK Metta-
Super Nova-
TBD-
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
Grobina2
FK Smiltene0
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Rezekne1
Skanste2
FK Limbazi0
Jekabpils SC2
1/8-finals
Riga FC0
Valmiera2
FK Auda Riga2
BFC Daugavpils1
Jelgava2
Alberts JDFS1
Salaspils FK0
FK Metta13
Super Nova0
Tukums 20002
RFS4
Spartaks Jurmala0
Grobina2
FK Liepaja1
Skanste6
Jekabpils SC1
Quarter-finals
Valmiera0
FK Auda Riga1
Jelgava2
FK Metta1
Tukums 20001
RFS4
Grobina2
Skanste0
Semi-finals
FK Auda Riga6
Jelgava1
RFS5
Grobina0
Final
FK Auda Riga1
RFS0