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Aliance vs JFK Ventspils - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Solomonovs N.
25' Event
Lucins A.
30' Event
Abedi Rodo Y.

AI Match Summary

JFK Ventspils in this Latvian Cup 2025 tie, finishing 0-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Aliance
15%
Draws
26%
JFK Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to JFK Ventspils lately — more wins on the board than Aliance.
  • Model gives Aliance a 59% chance of winning this.
  • JFK Ventspils arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor JFK Ventspils, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aliance Clean Sheet 10%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aliance JFK Ventspils
Matches Played 18 34
Wins 7 10
Draws 0 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 3.06 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Latvian Cup
Aliance vs JFK Ventspils
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aliance Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

JFK Ventspils Compare

Top Goalscorer Solomonovs N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucins A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliance 83 / 100
JFK Ventspils 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aliance JFK Ventspils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliance Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Aliance's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Defensive concern: JFK Ventspils conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

Aliance has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aliance VS JFK Ventspils
3.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aliance

(Home)
19 Jun
Marupe
4 : 2
Aliance
30 May
Valka
1 : 5
Aliance
31 May
Aliance
0 : 6
JFK Ventspils
17 May
Valka
1 : 9
Aliance
05 May
Talsi
1 : 5
Aliance
Page 1 of 4

JFK Ventspils

(Away)
26 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 0
JFK Ventspils
20 Sept
JFK Ventspils
1 : 0
Skanste
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1
Riga FC 2
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Speks -
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FK Alberts -
Riga United -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
Iecava -
TBD -
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Kekava-Auda -
TBD -
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Marupe -
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FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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Grobina -
Livani -
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JFC Viola -
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Skanste -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
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FK Smiltene -
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Kuivizu Spartaks -
TBD -
TBD -
Upesciema Warriors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga Mariners -
Valmiera 8
FK Limbazi 0
TBD -
FK Cesis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
Plavinas -
TBD -
TBD -
Namejs -
Rigas Futbola Skola -
TBD -
TBD -
Bauskas / Memele -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Augsdaugavas -
RSU -
TBD -
TBD -
LSPA -
Kuldigas/Goldingen -
TBD -
TBD -
Salaspils FK -
Dienvidkurzemes -
TBD -
TBD -
DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
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Leevon PPK -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Talsi 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
Valka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JFK Ventspils -
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
1/64-finals
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Speks 4
FK Alberts 3
Riga United 6
SK Babite 0
Iecava 1
Kekava-Auda 2
TBD -
Marupe -
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FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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Grobina -
Livani 4
JFC Viola 0
TBD -
Skanste -
Alberts JDFS -
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FK Smiltene -
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Kuivizu Spartaks 0
Upesciema Warriors 5
TBD -
Riga Mariners -
Valmiera 6
FK Cesis 0
TBD -
Ogre United -
Plavinas 4
Namejs 0
Rigas Futbola Skola 8
Bauskas / Memele 0
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
Augsdaugavas -
RSU 5
LSPA 1
Kuldigas/Goldingen 2
Salaspils FK 3
Dienvidkurzemes 3
DSVK Traktors 0
TBD -
Leevon PPK -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 5
Lielupe 0
TBD -
Rezekne -
Aliance 9
Valka 1
TBD -
JFK Ventspils -
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FK Liepaja -
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Speks 0
Riga United 3
Kekava-Auda 0
Marupe 3
TBD -
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FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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Grobina -
Livani 0
Skanste 5
Alberts JDFS 5
FK Smiltene 3
TBD -
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
TBD -
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Tukums 2000 -
Upesciema Warriors 0
Riga Mariners 3
Valmiera 4
Ogre United 3
Plavinas 3
Rigas Futbola Skola 2
AFA Olaine 3
Augsdaugavas 1
RSU 0
Salaspils FK 6
Dienvidkurzemes 1
Leevon PPK 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 4
Rezekne 0
Aliance 0
JFK Ventspils 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Riga United 0
Marupe 3
TBD -
FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Skanste 1
Alberts JDFS 2
TBD -
Super Nova -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Riga Mariners 4
Valmiera 3
Plavinas 3
AFA Olaine 5
Salaspils FK 4
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 1
JFK Ventspils 3
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 0
RFS 1
Marupe 1
FK Metta 4
FK Auda Riga 1
Grobina 0
Alberts JDFS 1
Super Nova 3
Riga FC 4
Tukums 2000 0
Riga Mariners 6
AFA Olaine 1
Leevon PPK 2
BFC Daugavpils 4
JFK Ventspils 0
FK Liepaja 2
Quarter-finals
RFS 3
FK Metta 2
FK Auda Riga 3
Super Nova 1
Riga FC 10
Riga Mariners 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Liepaja 2
Semi-finals
RFS 0
FK Auda Riga 2
Riga FC 4
FK Liepaja 0
Final
FK Auda Riga 2
Riga FC 1