Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza Atl. vs Los Chankas

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana
Alianza Atl. Logo

Alianza Atl.

3 - 1
FT
Los Chankas Logo

Los Chankas

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
del Castillo J.
Assist: Diaz G.
21'
Sub
Torres M. In: Espinoza Vega F. E.
Out: Torres M.
47' Event
Perleche E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Alianza Atl. and Los Chankas finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza Atl..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alianza Atl.
15%
Draws
0%
Los Chankas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Los Chankas haven't matched Alianza Atl.'s recent run of results.
  • Model gives Alianza Atl. a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alianza Atl. have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 20%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Atl. Los Chankas
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Los Chankas
3:1
Feb 8, 2026 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Alianza Atl.
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Los Chankas
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Alianza Atl.
1:2
Oct 28, 2024 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Los Chankas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Atl. Compare

Top Goalscorer del Castillo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perleche E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Los Chankas Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintero J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 85 / 100
Los Chankas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Atl. Los Chankas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Chankas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Alianza Atl.'s goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Los Chankas conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Atl. VS Los Chankas
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Atl.

(Home)
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Cajamarca
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
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Los Chankas

(Away)
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4
Juan Pablo II
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0
Los Chankas
15 Aug
Los Chankas
0 : 3
FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
11 Atletico Grau 10 5 1 4 14:13 16
12 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
14 Cienciano 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
15 Moquegua 10 1 4 5 7:17 7
16 Los Chankas 9 2 1 6 10:23 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)