Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao

Alianza Atl.

0 - 2

Macara

Our Tip

Match Events

Posse F.

Assist: Viera M.

34'

Miranda M.

Assist: Posse F.

46'

Sub

del Castillo J. In: Larios Saavedra G. A.

Out: del Castillo J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Alianza Atl.

15%

Draws

42%

Macara

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Alianza Atl. lately — more wins on the board than Macara.
Alianza Atl. are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Alianza Atl. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Macara, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 68%

Macara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alianza Atl.	Macara
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	15
Draws	3	6
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.67	1.37
Goals Conceded	1.37	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Macara vs Alianza Atl.

0:0

May 1, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Alianza Atl. vs Macara

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Atl. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39

Avg xA / game 0.91

Macara Compare

Top Goalscorer Posse F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Miranda M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 77 / 100

Macara 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alianza Atl. Macara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Atl. found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Macara let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Alianza Atl. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Atl. VS Macara

2.13 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Atl.

(Home)

27 Sept

Sport Boys

2 : 5

Alianza Atl.

18 Sept

Alianza Atl.

2 : 1

Comerciantes Unidos

13 Sept

Atletico Grau

3 : 1

Alianza Atl.

04 Sept

Alianza Atl.

3 : 2

Cajamarca

30 Aug

Moquegua

1 : 4

Alianza Atl.

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Macara

(Away)

19 Sept

Aucas

1 : 2

Macara

13 Sept

Macara

1 : 0

Emelec

05 Sept

Independiente del Valle

3 : 1

Macara

02 Sept

Macara

4 : 3

Manta

30 Aug

Orense

1 : 2

Macara

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