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Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana
Alianza Atl. Logo

Alianza Atl.

3 - 0
FT
Sport Boys Logo

Sport Boys

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Guzman W.
46'
Sub
Molina J. In: Robaldo V.
Out: Molina J.
46'
Sub
Penilla C. In: Larios Saavedra G. A.
Out: Penilla C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Alianza Atl.
15%
Draws
21%
Sport Boys
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza Atl. come out ahead of Sport Boys on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Alianza Atl. taking it.
  • Alianza Atl. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alianza Atl., who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Alianza Atl. have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 14%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Atl. Sport Boys
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys
3:0
Sep 27, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Sport Boys vs Alianza Atl.
2:5
Apr 19, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Alianza Atl.
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Atl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzman W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lupu H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sport Boys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 84 / 100
Sport Boys 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Atl. Sport Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Atl. found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Alianza Atl. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sport Boys's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Atl. VS Sport Boys
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Atl.

(Home)
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6

Sport Boys

(Away)
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
Sport Boys
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Alianza Atl. 3
Pirata 2
Cajamarca 4
ADA Jaen 1
Atletico Grau 2
Carlos Mannucci 1
Sport Boys 1
Comerciantes FC 0
Sporting Cristal 2
Tacna Heroica 1
Sport Huancayo 3
Los Chankas 1
Cienciano 2
AD Tarma 3
Moquegua 1
Deportivo Garcilaso 0
Quarter-finals
Alianza Atl. 2
Cajamarca 1
Atletico Grau 2
Sport Boys 3
Sporting Cristal 4
Sport Huancayo 1
AD Tarma 2
Moquegua 0
Semi-finals
Alianza Atl. 8
Sport Boys 2
Sporting Cristal 6
AD Tarma 0
Final
Alianza Atl. -
Sporting Cristal -