Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport Boys vs Alianza Atl.

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao
Sport Boys Logo

Sport Boys

2 - 5
FT
Alianza Atl. Logo

Alianza Atl.

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Davey J.
12' Event
Ingratti J.
28' Event
Suarez R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-5, with Alianza Atl. advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sport Boys
15%
Draws
46%
Alianza Atl.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza Atl. come out ahead of Sport Boys on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Alianza Atl. arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Alianza Atl., who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 16%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Boys Alianza Atl.
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.43
Goals Conceded 1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Alianza Atl.
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys
2:0
Mar 31, 2024 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Alianza Atl.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Davey J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Alianza Atl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ingratti J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Boys 31 / 100
Alianza Atl. 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Boys Alianza Atl.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Atl. let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Sport Boys's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sport Boys stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sport Boys VS Alianza Atl.
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Boys

(Home)
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
Sport Boys
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Sport Boys
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Sporting Cristal
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6

Alianza Atl.

(Away)
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Cajamarca
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Alianza Atl. 3
Pirata 2
Cajamarca 4
ADA Jaen 1
Atletico Grau 2
Carlos Mannucci 1
Sport Boys 1
Comerciantes FC 0
Sporting Cristal 2
Tacna Heroica 1
Sport Huancayo 3
Los Chankas 1
Cienciano 2
AD Tarma 3
Moquegua 1
Deportivo Garcilaso 0
Quarter-finals
Alianza Atl. 2
Cajamarca 1
Atletico Grau 2
Sport Boys 3
Sporting Cristal 4
Sport Huancayo 1
AD Tarma 2
Moquegua 0
Semi-finals
Alianza Atl. -
Sport Boys -
Sporting Cristal -
AD Tarma -
Final
TBD -
TBD -