Sport Picks
Alianza Atl. vs Sporting Cristal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana 
Match Events
21'
21'
Lupu H.
34'
34'
Hoyos M.
41'
41'
Suarez R.
AI Match Summary
Alianza Atl. in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianza Atl..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
15%
47%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alianza Atl. lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Cristal.
- Model gives Sporting Cristal a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza Atl. | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sporting Cristal
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atl.
3:1
Sep 17, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atl.
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sporting Cristal
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sporting Cristal
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alianza Atl. Compare
Top Goalscorer Ingratti J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Sporting Cristal Compare
Top Goalscorer Hoyos M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alianza Atl. 14 / 100
Sporting Cristal 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alianza Atl. Sporting Cristal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alianza Atl.'s goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Sporting Cristal conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Alianza Atl. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alianza Atl. VS Sporting Cristal
2.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza Atl.
(Home) 06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0 Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5 Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0 Sport Boys
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
21 Aug
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1 Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 3
Sporting Cristal
(Away) 01 Oct
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 AD Tarma
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Sporting Cristal
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 Los Chankas
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Sporting Cristal
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Sporting Cristal
21 Aug
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1 Sporting Cristal
08 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1 Sporting Cristal
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
